Jiri Zuzanek vs Karel Schopf 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 13Finished

Jiri Zuzanek

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

511116411119511

Karel Schopf

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:17 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Karel Schopf to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Karel Schopf below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 84 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Karel Schopf at 54.0%

84 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Zuzanek 15–17 Karel Schopf Jiri Zuzanek has won 15 of their 32 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Schopf

Zuzanek 2.00/Schopf 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Schopf · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Schopf won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:17

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Schopf

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

15-17 in 32

Schopf

Correct

gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zuzanek 1590 vs Schopf 1569

Zuzanek

Wrong

both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zuzanek 80% vs Schopf 40%

Zuzanek

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zuzanek 50% vs Schopf 30%

Zuzanek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zuzanek +3 · Schopf -1

Zuzanek

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Schopf: form 40%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZuzanek 2.00 / Schopf 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Schopf)-3.9pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Schopf beat Zuzanek 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZuzanek3wins

AwaySchopf7wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSchopf leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZuzanek50%2 of 4

AwaySchopf83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zuzanek4Schopf6n = 10Schopf took 6 of 10

S2Zuzanek6Schopf4n = 10Zuzanek took 6 of 10

S3Zuzanek5Schopf5n = 10split evenly

S4Zuzanek3Schopf6n = 9Schopf took 6 of 9

S5Zuzanek0Schopf3n = 3Schopf took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricZuzanekSchopfZ − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.939.6−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZuzanekSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1097 vs 222 / 45349.5%49%543 / 1097 vs 222 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280485

Zuzanek2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog48% won 112 of 236

Down 0–1, comes back27% 32 of 117

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56

Schopf1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite56% won 49 of 87

Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24

Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43

Jiri Zuzanek vs Karel Schopf 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jiri Zuzanek vs Karel Schopf 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.