Vitek Dvorak vs Karel Schopf 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Vitek Dvorak

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1191210116––––

Karel Schopf

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Karel Schopf to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVitek Dvorak above · Karel Schopf below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-6

Point 59 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Karel Schopf at 54.0%

59 points played in total.

H2H Vitek Dvorak 9–3 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 3 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Schopf

Dvorak 1.80/Schopf 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Schopf · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Dvorak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:16

54.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909

clears by 1.6pp

52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Dvorak

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

9-3 in 12

Dvorak

Correct

gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Dvorak 1514 vs Schopf 1585

Schopf

Wrong

both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dvorak 0% vs Schopf 60%

Schopf

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dvorak 10% vs Schopf 40%

Schopf

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Dvorak -5 · Schopf +1

Dvorak

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dvorak: form 0%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvorak 1.80 / Schopf 1.909

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Schopf)+1.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDvorak8wins

AwaySchopf2wins

3 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDvorak100%6 of 6

AwaySchopf50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvorak6Schopf4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10

S2Dvorak6Schopf4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10

S3Dvorak5Schopf5n = 10split evenly

S4Dvorak5Schopf2n = 7Dvorak took 5 of 7

S5Dvorak3Schopf0n = 3Dvorak took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDvorakSchopfD − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.535.5+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvorakSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 222 vs 222 / 45245.1%49.1%100 / 222 vs 222 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.6per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13278398

Dvorak1.80

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite50% won 7 of 14

Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8

Schopf1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog34% won 24 of 70

Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 46

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27

Vitek Dvorak vs Karel Schopf 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Vitek Dvorak vs Karel Schopf 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.