TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vitek Dvorak vs Jiri Zuzanek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Vitek Dvorak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811119116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:52 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVitek Dvorak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVitek Dvorak above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-5
Point 71 set 4, 7-5 · our read held Vitek Dvorak at 54.1%
71 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vitek Dvorak 10–7 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Zuzanek beat Dvorak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5254.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1592 vs Zuzanek 1557
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 40% vs Zuzanek 20%
Dvorak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 50% vs Zuzanek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak +1 · Zuzanek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dvorak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zuzanek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.727 / Zuzanek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvorak)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269506
Dvorak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zuzanek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog49% won 114 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back29% 33 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak4wins
AwayZuzanek6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZuzanek leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak57.1%4 of 7
AwayZuzanek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak7Zuzanek3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S2Dvorak2Zuzanek8n = 10Zuzanek took 8 of 10
S3Dvorak6Zuzanek4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S4Dvorak3Zuzanek5n = 8Zuzanek took 5 of 8
S5Dvorak3Zuzanek4n = 7Zuzanek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakZuzanekD − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.944.5−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 210 vs 544 / 109646.7%49.6%98 / 210 vs 544 / 1096Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.73/Zuzanek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 10 · 08:59V. Dvorak4412951172J. Zuzanek481011115113
WOct 10 · 08:30V. Dvorak341111123J. Zuzanek2349100
WMar 24 · 12:00V. Dvorak51118129113J. Zuzanek43311101182
WDec 31 · 17:00V. Dvorak481112113113J. Zuzanek47710131162
LDec 24 · 21:00V. Dvorak371091171J. Zuzanek4112117113
LDec 23 · 16:00V. Dvorak511071112112J. Zuzanek551211910133
WDec 2 · 14:30V. Dvorak531510116113J. Zuzanek48131231192
LDec 2 · 12:30V. Dvorak4612612972J. Zuzanek5310111011113
LNov 29 · 19:00V. Dvorak236890J. Zuzanek331111113
LNov 28 · 08:00V. Dvorak521113711102J. Zuzanek54915117123
V. Dvorak10
WOct 10 · 10:00J. Stolfa2.104980V. Dvorak1.671111113LOct 10 · 08:59V. Dvorak1.7312951172J. Zuzanek2.001011115113WOct 10 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.9149100V. Dvorak1.801111123LOct 10 · 07:30V. Dvorak3.255411101M. Klement1.3311116123LOct 10 · 06:30M. Nohejl1.831111113V. Dvorak1.839650LSep 30 · 03:30R. Krejci1.8511911113V. Dvorak1.85811771WSep 30 · 02:30P. Zmuda2.201289101V. Dvorak1.61101111123LSep 30 · 01:00R. Krejci2.201111910113V. Dvorak1.6196111222WSep 29 · 23:30V. Dvorak1.571111117113D. Tuma2.2541371142WSep 29 · 22:00V. Dvorak1.8391111113K. Schopf1.83117931
J. Zuzanek10
LOct 10 · 10:30J. Zuzanek2.005660M. Nohejl1.731111113WOct 10 · 08:59V. Dvorak1.7312951172J. Zuzanek2.001011115113LOct 10 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.9149100V. Dvorak1.801111123LOct 10 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.0081111782M. Nohejl1.73117711113LOct 10 · 06:00M. Klement1.531111113J. Zuzanek2.384890LOct 8 · 01:30J. Zuzanek1.837930V. Vejvoda1.831111113LOct 8 · 00:30T. Batog1.801111113J. Zuzanek1.919350WOct 7 · 23:30M. Regner1.73451141J. Zuzanek2.0011119113WOct 7 · 22:30J. Zuzanek1.91911811113M. Sychra1.8011911942WOct 7 · 21:28J. Zuzanek1.91101112113D. Hofman1.801261041
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