Jakub Stolfa vs Vitek Dvorak 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 10Finished

Jakub Stolfa

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

411911811––––

Vitek Dvorak

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:41 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Vitek Dvorak to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Jakub Stolfa @ 2.10 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Vitek Dvorak below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 54 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Vitek Dvorak at 55.8%

54 points played in total.

The pick

Sealed 08:41

Sent to Pro: Jakub Stolfa @ 2.10 · Lost

55.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 4.2pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Dvorak

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Stolfa 1680 vs Dvorak 1574

Stolfa

Wrong

both rated, 106 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stolfa 80% vs Dvorak 20%

Stolfa

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stolfa 80% vs Dvorak 40%

Stolfa

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stolfa +2 · Dvorak -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Dvorak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dvorak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStolfa 2.10 / Dvorak 1.666

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Dvorak)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13268546

Stolfa2.10

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog51% won 74 of 146

Down 0–1, comes back34% 28 of 82

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38

Dvorak1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStolfaDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 436 vs 97 / 20953.2%46.4%232 / 436 vs 97 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stolfa

Stolfa 2.10/Dvorak 1.67

Miss

What we said

55.8%

Dvorak · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Jakub Stolfa @ 2.10 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

0–3

Dvorak won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Stolfa10