TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Stolfa vs Michal Vedmoch 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Jakub Stolfa at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 13–14 Michal Vedmoch Jakub Stolfa has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:5754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1640 vs Vedmoch 1543
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 60% vs Vedmoch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 60% vs Vedmoch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Vedmoch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Stolfa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.833 / Vedmoch 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stolfa)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13242975
Stolfa1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vedmoch1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa6wins
AwayVedmoch4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa66.7%2 of 3
AwayVedmoch42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S2Stolfa5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S3Stolfa6Vedmoch4n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S4Stolfa4Vedmoch3n = 7Stolfa took 4 of 7
S5Stolfa3Vedmoch1n = 4Stolfa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaVedmochS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.7+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 432 vs 723 / 136753%52.9%229 / 432 vs 723 / 1367Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.83/Vedmoch 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 10:00J. Stolfa2610970M. Vedmoch341211113
WOct 1 · 07:00J. Stolfa4881513123M. Vedmoch45111311101
WSep 27 · 20:00J. Stolfa331111113M. Vedmoch189450
WSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa501211511113M. Vedmoch4814911772
WSep 24 · 09:00J. Stolfa511411114113M. Vedmoch48121361162
LSep 24 · 06:00J. Stolfa37129881M. Vedmoch43101111113
WSep 9 · 16:00J. Stolfa4581211143M. Vedmoch3811105121
LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa40111111342M. Vedmoch45132811113
LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa238870M. Vedmoch331111113
WAug 26 · 10:30J. Stolfa536101511113M. Vedmoch45111213722
J. Stolfa10
WOct 5 · 15:30F. Just1.531111111102J. Stolfa2.38811139123WOct 5 · 14:00J. Stolfa1.3611116123M. Sedlak3.006811101LOct 4 · 17:30V. Cermak1.4081111133J. Stolfa2.751159111WOct 4 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.571111133M. Sobisek2.2558110LOct 4 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.633870V. Cermak1.441111113WOct 4 · 14:00M. Chlebecek2.1012560J. Stolfa1.671411113WOct 4 · 13:30V. Cermak1.4011511982J. Stolfa2.75711911113WOct 4 · 12:30J. Stolfa1.5011149113M. Sobisek2.507121191LOct 4 · 11:00J. Stolfa2.7578140V. Cermak1.401111163WOct 4 · 10:00T. Vinter2.1071191292J. Stolfa1.671161110113
M. Vedmoch10
WOct 5 · 15:00M. Sedlak2.3813830M. Vedmoch1.531511113WOct 5 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.201111123F. Just1.6188100LOct 4 · 02:59M. Vedmoch1.401111911132J. Trefny2.75613119153WOct 4 · 02:30J. Trefny2.38811531M. Vedmoch1.5311711113LOct 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.25891111113M. Vedmoch1.5711116982WOct 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113P. Fojt2.509970LOct 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.736930J. Prokupek2.001111113WOct 3 · 13:30M. Vedmoch2.2511117113T. Vinter1.57561161WOct 3 · 12:30M. Vedmoch1.571191112113J. Prokupek2.2571171442LOct 3 · 11:00M. Vedmoch2.10111125102T. Vinter1.67761111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.