TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Plachy vs Michal Vedmoch 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811911116119118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:58 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Michal Vedmoch at 59.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 53–54 Michal Vedmoch Jiri Plachy has won 53 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:5859.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
53-54 in 107
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1494 vs Vedmoch 1525
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 60% vs Vedmoch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 50% vs Vedmoch 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -1 · Vedmoch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 2.25 / Vedmoch 1.571
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vedmoch)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233199
Plachy2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 141 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back21% 41 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 106
Vedmoch1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 196 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 147 of 183
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy4wins
AwayVedmoch6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy66.7%2 of 3
AwayVedmoch71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S2Plachy7Vedmoch3n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S3Plachy3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S4Plachy5Vedmoch4n = 9Plachy took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyVedmochP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.7−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime733 / 1593 vs 720 / 136246%52.9%733 / 1593 vs 720 / 1362Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochPlachy 2.25/Vedmoch 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 13:30J. Plachy4212571172M. Vedmoch501011117113
LOct 1 · 10:30J. Plachy381091271M. Vedmoch44121110113
WOct 1 · 08:58J. Plachy50111115133M. Vedmoch406617111
LOct 1 · 06:30J. Plachy36711991M. Vedmoch4111811113
WSep 23 · 10:30J. Plachy44111111113M. Vedmoch33134881
WSep 23 · 07:30J. Plachy46111212113M. Vedmoch367101451
LSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy29411681M. Vedmoch3911611113
LSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy187650M. Vedmoch331111113
WSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy4291111113M. Vedmoch31117941
LSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy25311651M. Vedmoch4011711113
J. Plachy10
LOct 4 · 00:00J. Trefny1.83121168113J. Plachy1.83106111132WOct 3 · 22:30P. Fojt1.73341181J. Plachy2.0011116113WOct 3 · 21:05J. Plachy1.471111113J. Dedek2.508860LOct 3 · 20:00L. Krok1.7311411113J. Plachy2.00711571WOct 3 · 19:00J. Dedek2.257860J. Plachy1.571111113LOct 3 · 18:30J. Plachy1.6181161152K. Darin2.20119116113WOct 2 · 12:59J. Plachy2.25711511113R. Pavelka1.5711611972WOct 2 · 12:30R. Pavelka1.53911691J. Plachy2.3811911113LOct 2 · 11:30J. Plachy2.75812111062J. Stolfa1.401110812113LOct 2 · 10:30V. Cermak1.4411911113J. Plachy2.63411781
M. Vedmoch10
WOct 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113P. Fojt2.509970LOct 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.736930J. Prokupek2.001111113WOct 3 · 13:30M. Vedmoch2.2511117113T. Vinter1.57561161WOct 3 · 12:30M. Vedmoch1.571191112113J. Prokupek2.2571171442LOct 3 · 11:00M. Vedmoch2.10111125102T. Vinter1.67761111123WOct 3 · 10:00J. Stolfa1.6110970M. Vedmoch2.201211113LOct 3 · 03:00M. Vedmoch2.109114111P. Zmuda1.6711611133LOct 3 · 02:00R. Pavelka1.5771112113M. Vedmoch2.251161061WOct 3 · 00:30M. Vedmoch2.631111113P. Zmuda1.449640LOct 2 · 23:00M. Vedmoch3.40751161M. Sobisek1.3011118113
Upcoming Matches
J. Plachy
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M. Vedmoch
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