TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Zuzanek vs Vitek Dvorak 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111012––––
Vitek Dvorak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitek Dvorak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Vitek Dvorak below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Vitek Dvorak at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 6–9 Vitek Dvorak Jiri Zuzanek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2754.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zuzanek 1570 vs Dvorak 1572
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zuzanek 20% vs Dvorak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zuzanek 60% vs Dvorak 40%
Zuzanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zuzanek -4 · Dvorak -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dvorak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 1.909 / Dvorak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvorak)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269237
Zuzanek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 114 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back29% 33 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Dvorak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZuzanek5wins
AwayDvorak5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanek75%3 of 4
AwayDvorak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S2Zuzanek7Dvorak3n = 10Zuzanek took 7 of 10
S3Zuzanek3Dvorak7n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Zuzanek5Dvorak3n = 8Zuzanek took 5 of 8
S5Zuzanek3Dvorak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZuzanekDvorakZ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.544.5−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1093 vs 96 / 20749.7%46.4%543 / 1093 vs 96 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakZuzanek 1.91/Dvorak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 24 · 12:00J. Zuzanek43311101182V. Dvorak51118129113
LDec 31 · 17:00J. Zuzanek47710131162V. Dvorak481112113113
WDec 24 · 21:00J. Zuzanek4112117113V. Dvorak371091171
WDec 23 · 16:00J. Zuzanek551211910133V. Dvorak511071112112
LDec 2 · 14:30J. Zuzanek48131231192V. Dvorak531510116113
WDec 2 · 12:30J. Zuzanek5310111011113V. Dvorak4612612972
WNov 29 · 19:00J. Zuzanek331111113V. Dvorak236890
WNov 28 · 08:00J. Zuzanek54915117123V. Dvorak521113711102
LJun 11 · 17:30J. Zuzanek401681061V. Dvorak48141112113
LJun 11 · 15:30J. Zuzanek2131260V. Dvorak361114113
J. Zuzanek10
WOct 10 · 08:59V. Dvorak1.7312951172J. Zuzanek2.001011115113LOct 10 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.0081111782M. Nohejl1.73117711113LOct 10 · 06:00M. Klement1.531111113J. Zuzanek2.384890LOct 8 · 01:30J. Zuzanek1.837930V. Vejvoda1.831111113LOct 8 · 00:30T. Batog1.801111113J. Zuzanek1.919350WOct 7 · 23:30M. Regner1.73451141J. Zuzanek2.0011119113WOct 7 · 22:30J. Zuzanek1.91911811113M. Sychra1.8011911942WOct 7 · 21:28J. Zuzanek1.91101112113D. Hofman1.801261041WOct 7 · 20:30D. Hofman1.6738150J. Zuzanek2.101111173WOct 7 · 19:30J. Zuzanek2.001112123M. Vondrak1.73910100
V. Dvorak10
LOct 10 · 08:59V. Dvorak1.7312951172J. Zuzanek2.001011115113LOct 10 · 07:30V. Dvorak3.255411101M. Klement1.3311116123LOct 10 · 06:30M. Nohejl1.831111113V. Dvorak1.839650LSep 30 · 03:30R. Krejci1.8511911113V. Dvorak1.85811771WSep 30 · 02:30P. Zmuda2.201289101V. Dvorak1.61101111123LSep 30 · 01:00R. Krejci2.201111910113V. Dvorak1.6196111222WSep 29 · 23:30V. Dvorak1.571111117113D. Tuma2.2541371142WSep 29 · 22:00V. Dvorak1.8391111113K. Schopf1.83117931LSep 29 · 02:00M. Sychra1.83771111113V. Dvorak1.8311117772WSep 29 · 00:30V. Dvorak1.8011113113M. Vizek1.917111191
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