TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Zmuda vs Vitek Dvorak 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12108119111012––
Vitek Dvorak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:28 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVitek Dvorak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Vitek Dvorak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 83 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Vitek Dvorak at 57.7%
83 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1663 vs Dvorak 1590
Zmuda
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 80% vs Dvorak 60%
Zmuda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 80% vs Dvorak 30%
Zmuda
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda +1 · Dvorak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Dvorak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 2.20 / Dvorak 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Dvorak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13212138
Zmuda2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Dvorak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 251 vs 95 / 20352.6%46.8%132 / 251 vs 95 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakZmuda 2.20/Dvorak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvorak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Zmuda10
WSep 30 · 02:58P. Zmuda1.361111113D. Tuma3.005780WSep 30 · 01:30D. Tuma2.204750P. Zmuda1.611111113LSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda1.67911831R. Krejci2.1011911113WSep 29 · 23:00K. Schopf1.614980P. Zmuda2.201111113WSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda1.6111134113D. Tuma2.209111171WSep 29 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91341111123M. Bittner1.80111174102LSep 29 · 19:30K. Kapras1.75111111113P. Zmuda1.85913661WSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda1.731111113D. Tuma2.005980WSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.73118115113D. Tuma2.0061151142WSep 24 · 12:00P. Zmuda1.8011111113M. Sobisek1.91119891
V. Dvorak10
LSep 30 · 01:00R. Krejci2.201111910113V. Dvorak1.6196111222WSep 29 · 23:30V. Dvorak1.571111117113D. Tuma2.2541371142WSep 29 · 22:00V. Dvorak1.8391111113K. Schopf1.83117931LSep 29 · 02:00M. Sychra1.83771111113V. Dvorak1.8311117772WSep 29 · 00:30V. Dvorak1.8011113113M. Vizek1.917111191LSep 28 · 23:00V. Dvorak1.679390K. Schopf2.101111113LSep 28 · 22:00M. Regner2.001111113V. Dvorak1.736460LMar 27 · 03:30A. Bayer1.911111113V. Dvorak1.807880LMar 27 · 02:00M. Regner2.1011119113V. Dvorak1.67861191LMar 27 · 00:30V. Dvorak1.7361090M. Sychra2.001112113
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