TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Zmuda vs Daniel Tuma 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117118––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8
53 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 17–11 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 2h before this match
Zmuda beat Tuma 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.36 / Tuma 3.00
Czech Liga Pro · #13220230
Zmuda1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 62 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Tuma3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 164 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back29% 53 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZmuda7wins
AwayTuma3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZmuda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmuda100%7 of 7
AwayTuma100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmuda7Tuma3n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S2Zmuda7Tuma3n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S3Zmuda6Tuma4n = 10Zmuda took 6 of 10
S4Zmuda3Tuma4n = 7Tuma took 4 of 7
S5Zmuda2Tuma1n = 3Zmuda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZmudaTumaZ − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.1+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 252 vs 782 / 149252.4%52.4%132 / 252 vs 782 / 1492Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.36/Tuma 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 01:30P. Zmuda331111113D. Tuma164750
WSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda3911134113D. Tuma389111171
WSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda331111113D. Tuma225980
WSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda46118115113D. Tuma3761151142
WSep 24 · 10:00P. Zmuda49117911113D. Tuma4251111962
WSep 22 · 03:30P. Zmuda4311118133D. Tuma388811111
LSep 22 · 00:30P. Zmuda34711881D. Tuma4011711113
LSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda52913111092D. Tuma531111812113
WAug 22 · 09:00P. Zmuda351113113D. Tuma2551190
LAug 22 · 07:30P. Zmuda326511101D. Tuma4011116123
P. Zmuda10
LSep 30 · 02:30P. Zmuda2.201289101V. Dvorak1.61101111123WSep 30 · 01:30D. Tuma2.204750P. Zmuda1.611111113LSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda1.67911831R. Krejci2.1011911113WSep 29 · 23:00K. Schopf1.614980P. Zmuda2.201111113WSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda1.6111134113D. Tuma2.209111171WSep 29 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91341111123M. Bittner1.80111174102LSep 29 · 19:30K. Kapras1.75111111113P. Zmuda1.85913661WSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda1.731111113D. Tuma2.005980WSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.73118115113D. Tuma2.0061151142WSep 24 · 12:00P. Zmuda1.8011111113M. Sobisek1.91119891
D. Tuma10
LSep 30 · 01:30D. Tuma2.204750P. Zmuda1.611111113WSep 30 · 00:30K. Schopf1.67916121262D. Tuma2.1011141410113LSep 29 · 23:30V. Dvorak1.571111117113D. Tuma2.2541371142LSep 29 · 22:30D. Tuma1.8341110101R. Krejci1.8311912123LSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda1.6111134113D. Tuma2.209111171WSep 29 · 20:30D. Tuma1.8311118113K. Kapras1.83681171WSep 29 · 19:00D. Tuma2.38119816113M. Bittner1.53911111492LSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda1.731111113D. Tuma2.005980LSep 28 · 03:00V. Cermak1.731111611173D. Tuma2.00721113152LSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.73118115113D. Tuma2.0061151142
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