Kacper Slawinski vs Witold Buczynski 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Kacper Slawinski

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

611811911––––

Witold Buczynski

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched: 68.5% is still 68.5%

Graded at full time

Kacper Slawinski to win

68.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingKacper Slawinski above · Witold Buczynski below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 56 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 68.5%

56 points played in total.

H2H Kacper Slawinski 30–13 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 13 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Slawinski

Slawinski 1.44/Buczynski 2.63

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

68.5%

Slawinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Buczynski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:56

68.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 0.8pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Slawinski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

30-13 in 43

Slawinski

Wrong

gap of 17 in 43, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Slawinski 1524 vs Buczynski 1275

Slawinski

Wrong

both rated, 249 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Slawinski 80% vs Buczynski 20%

Slawinski

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Slawinski 80% vs Buczynski 30%

Slawinski

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Slawinski +1 · Buczynski -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Buczynski: form 20%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSlawinski 1.444 / Buczynski 2.625

Signal prob.69% / 32%

Edge (Slawinski)-0.8pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSlawinski7wins

AwayBuczynski3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSlawinski100%4 of 4

AwayBuczynski50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Slawinski4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10

S2Slawinski5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly

S3Slawinski7Buczynski3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10

S4Slawinski4Buczynski4n = 8split evenly

S5Slawinski3Buczynski0n = 3Slawinski took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSlawinskiBuczynskiS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.835.2+4.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSlawinskiBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 997 vs 471 / 118862.4%39.7%622 / 997 vs 471 / 1188Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13280366

Slawinski1.44

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite69% won 170 of 248

Up 2–0, closes it99% 80 of 81

Up 1–0, closes it81% 125 of 154

Buczynski2.63

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog38% won 195 of 514

Down 0–1, comes back21% 64 of 303

Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 166

Kacper Slawinski vs Witold Buczynski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Kacper Slawinski vs Witold Buczynski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.