Witold Buczynski vs Sebastian Szostok 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Witold Buczynski

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11712109116111412

Sebastian Szostok

Away

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:17 and never touched: 64.0% is still 64.0%

Graded at full time

Sebastian Szostok to win

64.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingWitold Buczynski above · Sebastian Szostok below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 14-12

Point 103 set 5, 14-12 · our read held Sebastian Szostok at 64.0%

103 points played in total.

H2H Witold Buczynski 18–30 Sebastian Szostok Witold Buczynski has won 18 of their 48 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Szostok

Buczynski 2.38/Szostok 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64%

Szostok · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Buczynski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:17

64.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 1.2pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Szostok

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

18-30 in 48

Szostok

Wrong

gap of 12 in 48, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Buczynski 1295 vs Szostok 1375

Szostok

Wrong

both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Buczynski 40% vs Szostok 60%

Szostok

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Buczynski 20% vs Szostok 50%

Szostok

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Buczynski -2 · Szostok -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Szostok) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBuczynski 2.375 / Szostok 1.533

Signal prob.36% / 64%

Edge (Szostok)-1.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBuczynski4wins

AwaySzostok6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBuczynski75%3 of 4

AwaySzostok83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Buczynski4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10

S2Buczynski7Szostok3n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10

S3Buczynski4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10

S4Buczynski3Szostok6n = 9Szostok took 6 of 9

S5Buczynski1Szostok2n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricBuczynskiSzostokB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.0−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBuczynskiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 1186 vs 900 / 156539.7%57.5%471 / 1186 vs 900 / 1565Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.340.2per match

TT Elite Series · #13279841

Buczynski2.38

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 195 of 514

Down 0–1, comes back21% 64 of 303

Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 166

Szostok1.53

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite65% won 337 of 522

Up 2–0, closes it96% 131 of 137

Up 1–0, closes it80% 219 of 273

Witold Buczynski vs Sebastian Szostok 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Witold Buczynski vs Sebastian Szostok 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.