Andrii Tkachenko vs Milan Smesny 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Andrii Tkachenko

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1191117111210911

Milan Smesny

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:09 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Milan Smesny to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Andrii Tkachenko @ 2.20 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingAndrii Tkachenko above · Milan Smesny below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 1-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 92 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Milan Smesny at 57.7%

92 points played in total.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Tkachenko

Tkachenko 2.20/Smesny 1.61

Miss

What we said

57.7%

Smesny · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Andrii Tkachenko @ 2.20 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

2–3

Smesny won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pick

Sealed 08:09

Sent to Pro: Andrii Tkachenko @ 2.20 · Lost

57.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 4.2pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Smesny

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Tkachenko 1125 vs Smesny 1157

Smesny

Correct

both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Tkachenko 60% vs Smesny 20%

Tkachenko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Tkachenko 60% vs Smesny 30%

Tkachenko

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Tkachenko +1 · Smesny -4

Smesny

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Smesny) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Smesny: form 20%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTkachenko 2.20 / Smesny 1.615

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Smesny)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricTkachenkoSmesnyBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 46 vs 182 / 35147.8%51.9%22 / 46 vs 182 / 351Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.4per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280336

Tkachenko2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 15 of 35

Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Smesny1.61

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite64% won 53 of 83

Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26

Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40

Andrii Tkachenko vs Milan Smesny 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Andrii Tkachenko vs Milan Smesny 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.