Piotr Przewlocki vs Witold Buczynski 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Piotr Przewlocki

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711911511––––

Witold Buczynski

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Piotr Przewlocki to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Witold Buczynski below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Point 54 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.0%

54 points played in total.

H2H Piotr Przewlocki 12–11 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 11 of their 23 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Przewlocki

Przewlocki 1.80/Buczynski 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Przewlocki · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Buczynski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:10

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Przewlocki

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

12-11 in 23

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Przewlocki 1367 vs Buczynski 1299

Przewlocki

Wrong

both rated, 68 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Przewlocki 40% vs Buczynski 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Przewlocki 50% vs Buczynski 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Przewlocki +1 · Buczynski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Buczynski: form 40%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.80 / Buczynski 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Przewlocki)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Przewlocki beat Buczynski 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePrzewlocki6wins

AwayBuczynski4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePrzewlocki80%4 of 5

AwayBuczynski60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Przewlocki5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly

S2Przewlocki7Buczynski3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10

S3Przewlocki5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly

S4Przewlocki2Buczynski4n = 6Buczynski took 4 of 6

S5Przewlocki2Buczynski1n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricPrzewlockiBuczynskiP − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.635.2+1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPrzewlockiBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime525 / 1092 vs 472 / 118948.1%39.7%525 / 1092 vs 472 / 1189Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13279879

Przewlocki1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite59% won 124 of 209

Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48

Up 1–0, closes it77% 80 of 104

Buczynski1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog38% won 195 of 514

Down 0–1, comes back21% 64 of 303

Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 166

Piotr Przewlocki vs Witold Buczynski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Piotr Przewlocki vs Witold Buczynski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.