Jiri Stach vs Ivo Taichman 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Jiri Stach

Home

3.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

9119111191012––

Ivo Taichman

Away

1.29

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched: 76.3% is still 76.3%

Graded at full time

Ivo Taichman to win

76.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJiri Stach above · Ivo Taichman below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 10-12

Point 82 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Ivo Taichman at 76.3%

82 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Stach 10–16 Ivo Taichman Jiri Stach has won 10 of their 26 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Taichman

Stach 3.50/Taichman 1.28

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

76.3%

Taichman · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Taichman won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:57

76.3%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285

short by 1.5pp

77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.28 (73%)

Taichman

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

10-16 in 26

Taichman

Correct

gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Stach 1311 vs Taichman 1383

Taichman

Correct

both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stach 60% vs Taichman 20%

Stach

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stach 30% vs Taichman 30%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Stach -1 · Taichman -4

Taichman

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 76% · Strong (leans Taichman) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Taichman: form 20%, the price implies 78%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStach 3.50 / Taichman 1.285

Signal prob.24% / 76%

Edge (Taichman)-1.5pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStach3wins

AwayTaichman7wins

3 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStachn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayTaichman66.7%6 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stach1Taichman9n = 10Taichman took 9 of 10

S2Stach2Taichman8n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10

S3Stach5Taichman5n = 10split evenly

S4Stach3Taichman3n = 6split evenly

S5Stach2Taichman1n = 3Stach took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricStachTaichmanS − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.639.8−9.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStachTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 321 vs 292 / 57444.9%50.9%144 / 321 vs 292 / 574Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13278414

Stach3.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 05) · back after a break

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog34% won 31 of 91

Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52

Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 28

Taichman1.28

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite57% won 98 of 173

Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49

Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92

Jiri Stach vs Ivo Taichman 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jiri Stach vs Ivo Taichman 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.