Andrzej Szurgot vs Dawid Pyrek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 10Finished

Andrzej Szurgot

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9111191311711117

Dawid Pyrek

Away

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%

Graded at full time

Dawid Pyrek to win

65.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAndrzej Szurgot above · Dawid Pyrek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 100 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Dawid Pyrek at 65.3%

100 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:08

65.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 1.4pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Pyrek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Szurgot 1154 vs Pyrek 1260

Pyrek

Wrong

both rated, 106 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szurgot 40% vs Pyrek 20%

Szurgot

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szurgot 20% vs Pyrek 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Szurgot +1 · Pyrek -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Pyrek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pyrek form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzurgot 2.50 / Pyrek 1.50

Signal prob.35% / 65%

Edge (Pyrek)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13274465

Szurgot2.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog19% won 25 of 130

Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 95

Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 68

Pyrek1.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite62% won 79 of 128

Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it81% 61 of 75

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzurgotPyrekBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 152 vs 374 / 76821.1%48.7%32 / 152 vs 374 / 768Avg sets wonper match1.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match31.436.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pyrek

Szurgot 2.50/Pyrek 1.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

65.3%

Pyrek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Szurgot won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Szurgot10