TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Molin vs Erik Precek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 52 - H2 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210811115––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched: 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Erik Precek at 56.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 1–3 Erik Precek Tomas Molin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0556.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 7.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Precek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Precek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1571 vs Precek 1567
Molin
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 60% vs Precek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 50% vs Precek 70%
Precek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin +1 · Precek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Precek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 2.25 / Precek 1.571
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Precek)-7.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13271786
Molin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 22 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Precek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 39 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMolin1wins
AwayPrecek3wins
Precek leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPrecek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin1Precek3n = 4Precek took 3 of 4
S2Molin3Precek1n = 4Molin took 3 of 4
S3Molin2Precek2n = 4split evenly
S4Molin0Precek3n = 3Precek took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMolinPrecekM − PBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.836.2−2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 323 vs 240 / 51052.6%47.1%170 / 323 vs 240 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekMolin 2.25/Precek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 15 · 13:40T. Molin28751151E. Precek4211119113
LFeb 4 · 20:10T. Molin3710116101E. Precek4112611123
WDec 14 · 17:50T. Molin331111113E. Precek195680
LDec 6 · 15:45T. Molin37812891E. Precek43111011113
T. Molin10
WOct 10 · 09:45L. Dzida1.507620T. Molin2.501111113LOct 9 · 17:15R. Benes1.501113113T. Molin2.5081180WOct 9 · 16:10T. Molin1.57119139113L. Kantor2.25911111152WOct 9 · 14:40T. Fojtik1.739290T. Molin2.001111113LOct 9 · 14:10R. Benes1.731211113T. Molin2.0010690LOct 4 · 12:50T. Molin2.7591611692B. Mrowetz1.401114811113LOct 4 · 12:15J. Travnicek1.73111111113T. Molin2.00813971LOct 4 · 11:15T. Molin2.63581191J. Krupnik1.4411119113WOct 4 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.539870T. Molin2.381111113WSep 27 · 21:10D. Branny2.109101861T. Molin1.67111216113
E. Precek10
WOct 10 · 11:45L. Dzida1.61117101172E. Precek2.20811127113WOct 10 · 10:15E. Precek1.613111113113O. Bolcarovic2.2011681562LOct 2 · 13:18T. Krenek1.831111113E. Precek1.836690LOct 2 · 12:15E. Precek1.911111841L. Dzida1.8013611113WOct 2 · 10:45M. Macurak1.57115861E. Precek2.2591111113WOct 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73891111102E. Precek2.00111187123WOct 2 · 09:20M. Raska2.3891090E. Precek1.531112113WOct 2 · 07:45R. Sedlacek1.53611118102E. Precek2.38113811123WOct 2 · 07:15M. Raska2.20411651E. Precek1.6111411113LOct 2 · 06:15E. Precek1.6111101151L. Lasota2.2041213113
Upcoming Matches
T. Molin
Nothing scheduled
E. Precek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.