TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko vs Anna Gorchakova 2-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111412119711
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched: 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeAnna Gorchakova to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 103 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Anna Gorchakova at 73.9%
103 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko 14–33 Anna Gorchakova Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 14 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:3373.9%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 3.0pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Gorchakova
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-33 in 47
Gorchakova
Correct
gap of 19 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hordynska-Sheiko 1315 vs Gorchakova 1569
Gorchakova
Correct
both rated, 253 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hordynska-Sheiko 40% vs Gorchakova 20%
Hordynska-Sheiko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hordynska-Sheiko 20% vs Gorchakova 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hordynska-Sheiko -1 · Gorchakova -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Gorchakova) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHordynska-Sheiko 3.40 / Gorchakova 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Gorchakova)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13271003
Hordynska-Sheiko3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 36 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Gorchakova1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 50 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHordynska-Sheiko3wins
AwayGorchakova7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGorchakova leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHordynska-Sheiko40%2 of 5
AwayGorchakova80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hordynska-Sheiko5Gorchakova5n = 10split evenly
S2Hordynska-Sheiko2Gorchakova8n = 10Gorchakova took 8 of 10
S3Hordynska-Sheiko6Gorchakova4n = 10Hordynska-Sheiko took 6 of 10
S4Hordynska-Sheiko2Gorchakova7n = 9Gorchakova took 7 of 9
S5Hordynska-Sheiko2Gorchakova1n = 3Hordynska-Sheiko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHordynska-SheikoGorchakovaH − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.140.3−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHordynska-SheikoGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 440 vs 217 / 45932.3%47.3%142 / 440 vs 217 / 459Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GorchakovaHordynska-Sheiko 3.40/Gorchakova 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Gorchakova · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 27 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko37119891A. Gorchakova3851111113
LSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko2781090A. Gorchakova341112113
LSep 12 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko30491161A. Gorchakova4011117113
WSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko47811611113A. Gorchakova4711711992
WAug 22 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko45113119113A. Gorchakova4381141192
LJul 26 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko29114951A. Gorchakova3961111113
LJun 28 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4041114922A. Gorchakova511161211113
LJun 27 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko371171181A. Gorchakova4013115113
WMay 23 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4211911113A. Gorchakova31411881
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LOct 10 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.611111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.206590LOct 10 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0077110V. Shevchuk1.081111133LOct 10 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.007990M. Gordeets1.221111113WOct 10 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25881114113A. Volgina1.33111171292WOct 3 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.571111951A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.2513811113LOct 3 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.63911771O. Ivchenko1.4411611113LOct 3 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00118931M. Gordeets1.2251111113LOct 3 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.50121011842A. Gorchakova1.28101281173LOct 3 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.507660V. Shevchuk1.101111113LSep 27 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3051111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.40119891
A. Gorchakova10
WOct 10 · 18:05A. Volgina1.44711951A. Gorchakova2.6311411113LOct 10 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.331112113A. Gorchakova3.2561060WOct 10 · 12:35K. Tymchenko3.509840A. Gorchakova1.281111113LOct 9 · 18:35A. Gorchakova2.254240K. Bondarenko1.571111103LOct 9 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.3861112972O. Ivchenko1.531191011113LOct 9 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.63121181192A. Volgina1.441013115113LOct 9 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.001890V. Shevchuk1.361111113WOct 9 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.2511117113M. Gordeets1.33481191WOct 3 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.50121011842A. Gorchakova1.28101281173WSep 27 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3051111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.40119891
Upcoming Matches
A. Hordynska-Sheiko
Nothing scheduled
A. Gorchakova
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