TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko vs Oleksandra Ivchenko 1-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116711711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:34 and never touched: 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 68.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko 39–74 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 39 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3468.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 0.4pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
39-74 in 113
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 35 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hordynska-Sheiko 1311 vs Ivchenko 1544
Ivchenko
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hordynska-Sheiko 0% vs Ivchenko 40%
Ivchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hordynska-Sheiko 10% vs Ivchenko 40%
Ivchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hordynska-Sheiko -6 · Ivchenko +2
Hordynska-Sheiko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Ivchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHordynska-Sheiko 2.625 / Ivchenko 1.444
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Ivchenko)-0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13235152
Hordynska-Sheiko2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 37 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Ivchenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 110 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it77% 74 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHordynska-Sheiko2wins
AwayIvchenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHordynska-Sheikon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayIvchenko88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hordynska-Sheiko1Ivchenko9n = 10Ivchenko took 9 of 10
S2Hordynska-Sheiko2Ivchenko8n = 10Ivchenko took 8 of 10
S3Hordynska-Sheiko4Ivchenko6n = 10Ivchenko took 6 of 10
S4Hordynska-Sheiko4Ivchenko2n = 6Hordynska-Sheiko took 4 of 6
S5Hordynska-Sheiko1Ivchenko2n = 3Ivchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHordynska-SheikoIvchenkoH − IBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.140.9−5.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHordynska-SheikoIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 440 vs 332 / 54332.5%61.1%143 / 440 vs 332 / 543Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoHordynska-Sheiko 2.63/Ivchenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko377711121O. Ivchenko4411118143
LSep 20 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko2811890O. Ivchenko351311113
WSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko48811711113O. Ivchenko3611211752
LAug 29 · 16:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4869131192O. Ivchenko511111117113
LAug 22 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko50141161362O. Ivchenko561671111113
LAug 15 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko28612100O. Ivchenko371114123
LAug 1 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko186660O. Ivchenko331111113
WJul 19 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4111512133O. Ivchenko4081110111
LJul 11 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2669110O. Ivchenko351111133
LJul 4 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko27751141O. Ivchenko4211119113
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LOct 3 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00118931M. Gordeets1.2251111113LOct 3 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.50121011842A. Gorchakova1.28101281173LOct 3 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.507660V. Shevchuk1.101111113LSep 27 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3051111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.40119891LSep 27 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.506730V. Shevchuk1.131111113LSep 27 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.637711121O. Ivchenko1.4411118143WSep 27 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.2571111113K. Tymchenko1.57117561LSep 27 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7596120M. Gordeets1.251111143LSep 20 · 16:05A. Volgina1.281111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.509880LSep 20 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.509550V. Shevchuk1.17111193
O. Ivchenko10
WOct 3 · 15:35K. Tymchenko3.25118561O. Ivchenko1.3371111113WOct 3 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.9111118133M. Gordeets1.808911111LOct 3 · 13:35A. Gorchakova2.501181112103O. Ivchenko1.5051171492LSep 27 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.2511119133O. Ivchenko1.333611111LSep 27 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.611111133O. Ivchenko2.2075110WSep 27 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.637711121O. Ivchenko1.4411118143LSep 27 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.611011811183O. Ivchenko2.20125113162LSep 27 · 12:35A. Gorchakova2.6311511113O. Ivchenko1.44711961LSep 26 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0071070V. Shevchuk1.731112113WSep 26 · 17:35A. Lapa3.25111115482O. Ivchenko1.338131311113
Upcoming Matches
A. Hordynska-Sheiko
Nothing scheduled
O. Ivchenko
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