TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Viktoria Shevchuk vs Oleksandra Ivchenko 3-2 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121158111131816
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 18-16
Point 105 set 5, 18-16 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 55.7%
105 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 21–24 Oleksandra Ivchenko Viktoria Shevchuk has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-24 in 45
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1683 vs Ivchenko 1558
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 100% vs Ivchenko 40%
Shevchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 90% vs Ivchenko 50%
Shevchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk +6 · Ivchenko -2
Shevchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Shevchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 1.61 / Ivchenko 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Shevchuk)+4.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13201068
Shevchuk1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 89 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 91
Ivchenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 21 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk7wins
AwayIvchenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayIvchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk7Ivchenko3n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Shevchuk5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Shevchuk6Ivchenko4n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Shevchuk2Ivchenko4n = 6Ivchenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukIvchenkoS − IBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.9+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 298 vs 330 / 54158.4%61%174 / 298 vs 330 / 541Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukShevchuk 1.61/Ivchenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 26 · 19:35V. Shevchuk341112113O. Ivchenko2471070
WSep 20 · 12:35V. Shevchuk331111113O. Ivchenko164750
LSep 19 · 14:35V. Shevchuk2578100O. Ivchenko341111123
WSep 6 · 13:35V. Shevchuk44111111113O. Ivchenko36136891
WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk4111118113O. Ivchenko29491151
LAug 23 · 16:05V. Shevchuk28116741O. Ivchenko3851111113
WAug 22 · 16:05V. Shevchuk48131383113O. Ivchenko491111111152
LAug 15 · 16:05V. Shevchuk4661413131O. Ivchenko53111611153
V. Shevchuk10
LSep 27 · 15:35A. Gorchakova4.001111113V. Shevchuk1.229580WSep 27 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.756980V. Shevchuk1.401111113WSep 26 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0071070V. Shevchuk1.731112113WSep 26 · 18:05V. Shevchuk1.40111110113K. Tymchenko2.75961281WSep 26 · 16:05M. Gordeets1.73117761V. Shevchuk2.0081111113WSep 26 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.509830V. Shevchuk2.50111163WSep 26 · 13:05A. Lapa3.40811881V. Shevchuk1.3011311113LSep 20 · 18:09V. Shevchuk1.833430A. Volgina1.831111113WSep 20 · 16:35A. Gorchakova3.756950V. Shevchuk1.251111113WSep 20 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.509550V. Shevchuk1.17111193
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 27 · 12:35A. Gorchakova2.6311511113O. Ivchenko1.44711961LSep 26 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0071070V. Shevchuk1.731112113WSep 26 · 17:35A. Lapa3.25111115482O. Ivchenko1.338131311113LSep 26 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.361111113O. Ivchenko3.009490WSep 26 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.33711711113K. Tymchenko3.2511811362WSep 26 · 13:35M. Gordeets1.80811150O. Ivchenko1.911113173WSep 20 · 17:40A. Gorchakova2.63117851O. Ivchenko1.4491111113LSep 20 · 17:05A. Volgina1.8311812123O. Ivchenko1.8351110101LSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173WSep 20 · 14:05O. Ivchenko1.441311113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.6311890
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