TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Viktoria Shevchuk vs Anna Gorchakova 3-0 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched: 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 73.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 26–11 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 11 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:3373.3%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
short by 1.7pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
26-11 in 37
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 15 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1647 vs Gorchakova 1580
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 80% vs Gorchakova 20%
Shevchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 50% vs Gorchakova 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk +3 · Gorchakova +1
Shevchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Shevchuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 1.333 / Gorchakova 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Shevchuk)-1.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13270966
Shevchuk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 87 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it84% 73 of 87
Gorchakova3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 45 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk6wins
AwayGorchakova4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk71.4%5 of 7
AwayGorchakova66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk7Gorchakova3n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Shevchuk6Gorchakova4n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S3Shevchuk5Gorchakova5n = 10split evenly
S4Shevchuk5Gorchakova1n = 6Shevchuk took 5 of 6
S5Shevchuk1Gorchakova2n = 3Gorchakova took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukGorchakovaS − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.834.1+4.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 318 vs 217 / 45858.2%47.4%185 / 318 vs 217 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukShevchuk 1.33/Gorchakova 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 9 · 14:05V. Shevchuk331111113A. Gorchakova181890
LOct 3 · 16:05V. Shevchuk4861481192A. Gorchakova521112117113
LSep 27 · 15:35V. Shevchuk229580A. Gorchakova331111113
WSep 20 · 16:35V. Shevchuk331111113A. Gorchakova206950
WSep 12 · 12:35V. Shevchuk551117511113A. Gorchakova52131511852
WSep 10 · 14:05V. Shevchuk4011117113A. Gorchakova33971161
LSep 6 · 17:35V. Shevchuk4511791172A. Gorchakova47511119113
WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk4011711113A. Gorchakova28611651
WAug 30 · 13:35V. Shevchuk331111113A. Gorchakova247980
V. Shevchuk10
WOct 10 · 13:35M. Gordeets1.738690V. Shevchuk2.001111113WOct 9 · 19:35A. Volgina1.807960V. Shevchuk1.911111113WOct 9 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.0011111011113M. Gordeets1.7313812582LOct 9 · 16:05O. Ivchenko2.10101111113V. Shevchuk1.67129651WOct 9 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.001890V. Shevchuk1.361111113LOct 9 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.6113612113V. Shevchuk2.2011111061WOct 4 · 19:05O. Ivchenko2.1011118542V. Shevchuk1.67861111113LOct 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.731111113V. Shevchuk2.007980LOct 4 · 16:35A. Lapa3.501111113V. Shevchuk1.286950LOct 4 · 14:35A. Gorchakova3.251013811103V. Shevchuk1.33121111262
A. Gorchakova10
WOct 10 · 12:35K. Tymchenko3.509840A. Gorchakova1.281111113LOct 9 · 18:35A. Gorchakova2.254240K. Bondarenko1.571111103LOct 9 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.3861112972O. Ivchenko1.531191011113LOct 9 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.63121181192A. Volgina1.441013115113LOct 9 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.001890V. Shevchuk1.361111113WOct 9 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.2511117113M. Gordeets1.33481191LOct 4 · 19:35A. Gorchakova3.00691161M. Gordeets1.3611118113LOct 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.631111113A. Gorchakova1.445270WOct 4 · 15:35K. Tymchenko3.7565130A. Gorchakova1.251111153WOct 4 · 14:35A. Gorchakova3.251013811103V. Shevchuk1.33121111262
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