TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Margarita Gordeets vs Viktoria Shevchuk 3-0 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMargarita Gordeets above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Margarita Gordeets at 54.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Margarita Gordeets 28–20 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 20 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:0054.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
28-20 in 48
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 8 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gordeets 1654 vs Shevchuk 1621
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gordeets 60% vs Shevchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gordeets 70% vs Shevchuk 50%
Gordeets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gordeets -1 · Shevchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gordeets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGordeets 1.727 / Shevchuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gordeets)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13240844
Gordeets1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 113 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103
Shevchuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 26 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGordeets6wins
AwayShevchuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGordeets71.4%5 of 7
AwayShevchuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gordeets7Shevchuk3n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S2Gordeets5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Gordeets4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Gordeets7Shevchuk2n = 9Gordeets took 7 of 9
S5Gordeets2Shevchuk3n = 5Shevchuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGordeetsShevchukG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.941.7+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGordeetsShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 591 vs 180 / 31059.7%58.1%353 / 591 vs 180 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGordeets 1.73/Shevchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 18:05M. Gordeets52811311192V. Shevchuk56119114213
WSep 27 · 19:35M. Gordeets4211911113V. Shevchuk35711981
LSep 26 · 16:05M. Gordeets31117761V. Shevchuk4181111113
WSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets48117811113V. Shevchuk4241111882
LSep 10 · 18:05M. Gordeets51129911102V. Shevchuk521011118123
LSep 6 · 19:35M. Gordeets46811125102V. Shevchuk501161011123
WSep 5 · 13:05M. Gordeets4518115113V. Shevchuk401681151
WAug 23 · 13:35M. Gordeets3511112113V. Shevchuk32791151
WAug 22 · 18:05M. Gordeets331111113V. Shevchuk236890
WAug 20 · 19:35M. Gordeets46941111113V. Shevchuk4611117892
M. Gordeets10
LOct 4 · 16:05O. Ivchenko2.0011411113M. Gordeets1.73811871WOct 4 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.508119151M. Gordeets1.5011711173WOct 4 · 13:05A. Lapa2.20871181M. Gordeets1.6111115113WOct 3 · 19:05A. Gorchakova3.25711341M. Gordeets1.3311411113LOct 3 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.00119114213M. Gordeets1.73811311192WOct 3 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00118931M. Gordeets1.2251111113LOct 3 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.9111118133M. Gordeets1.808911111WOct 3 · 12:35K. Tymchenko2.50101191122M. Gordeets1.50129118113WOct 2 · 19:35M. Gordeets1.531311113K. Tymchenko2.3811970WOct 2 · 17:35Y. Severina4.508850M. Gordeets1.171111113
V. Shevchuk10
LOct 4 · 16:35A. Lapa3.501111113V. Shevchuk1.286950LOct 4 · 14:35A. Gorchakova3.251013811103V. Shevchuk1.33121111262WOct 4 · 12:35K. Tymchenko5.0031191132V. Shevchuk1.14117115113WOct 3 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.10871131V. Shevchuk1.6711116113WOct 3 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.00119114213M. Gordeets1.73811311192LOct 3 · 16:05A. Gorchakova3.401112117113V. Shevchuk1.3061481192LOct 3 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.2511511113V. Shevchuk1.57811681WOct 3 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.507660V. Shevchuk1.101111113LSep 27 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00711981M. Gordeets1.7311911113WSep 27 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.506730V. Shevchuk1.131111113
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