TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Margarita Gordeets vs Viktoria Shevchuk 0-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMargarita Gordeets above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Margarita Gordeets at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Margarita Gordeets 29–21 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:3254.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gordeets
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
29-21 in 50
Gordeets
Wrong
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gordeets 1621 vs Shevchuk 1633
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gordeets 20% vs Shevchuk 60%
Shevchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gordeets 50% vs Shevchuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gordeets -4 · Shevchuk +2
Gordeets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gordeets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGordeets 1.727 / Shevchuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gordeets)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13270945
Gordeets1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 113 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it85% 88 of 104
Shevchuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 28 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back39% 11 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGordeets5wins
AwayShevchuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGordeets62.5%5 of 8
AwayShevchukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gordeets8Shevchuk2n = 10Gordeets took 8 of 10
S2Gordeets5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Gordeets4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Gordeets6Shevchuk3n = 9Gordeets took 6 of 9
S5Gordeets1Shevchuk4n = 5Shevchuk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGordeetsShevchukG − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.942.6+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGordeetsShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 597 vs 184 / 31759.5%58%355 / 597 vs 184 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGordeets 1.73/Shevchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 18:05M. Gordeets4613812582V. Shevchuk5411111011113
WOct 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets331111113V. Shevchuk247980
LOct 3 · 18:05M. Gordeets52811311192V. Shevchuk56119114213
WSep 27 · 19:35M. Gordeets4211911113V. Shevchuk35711981
LSep 26 · 16:05M. Gordeets31117761V. Shevchuk4181111113
WSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets48117811113V. Shevchuk4241111882
LSep 10 · 18:05M. Gordeets51129911102V. Shevchuk521011118123
LSep 6 · 19:35M. Gordeets46811125102V. Shevchuk501161011123
WSep 5 · 13:05M. Gordeets4518115113V. Shevchuk401681151
WAug 23 · 13:35M. Gordeets3511112113V. Shevchuk32791151
M. Gordeets10
WOct 10 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.007990M. Gordeets1.221111113WOct 9 · 19:05O. Ivchenko2.25114991M. Gordeets1.579111192LOct 9 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.0011111011113M. Gordeets1.7313812582LOct 9 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.911111113M. Gordeets1.809970LOct 9 · 14:35A. Volgina1.8381111113M. Gordeets1.83118881LOct 9 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.2511117113M. Gordeets1.33481191WOct 4 · 19:35A. Gorchakova3.00691161M. Gordeets1.3611118113WOct 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.731111113V. Shevchuk2.007980LOct 4 · 16:05O. Ivchenko2.0011411113M. Gordeets1.73811871WOct 4 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.508119151M. Gordeets1.5011711173
V. Shevchuk10
WOct 10 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.331112113A. Gorchakova3.2561060WOct 9 · 19:35A. Volgina1.807960V. Shevchuk1.911111113WOct 9 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.0011111011113M. Gordeets1.7313812582LOct 9 · 16:05O. Ivchenko2.10101111113V. Shevchuk1.67129651WOct 9 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.001890V. Shevchuk1.361111113LOct 9 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.6113612113V. Shevchuk2.2011111061WOct 4 · 19:05O. Ivchenko2.1011118542V. Shevchuk1.67861111113LOct 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.731111113V. Shevchuk2.007980LOct 4 · 16:35A. Lapa3.501111113V. Shevchuk1.286950LOct 4 · 14:35A. Gorchakova3.251013811103V. Shevchuk1.33121111262
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