TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anastasiia Volgina vs Anna Gorchakova 1-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114911511––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched: 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 66.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 45–23 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 23 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4366.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
45-23 in 68
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 22 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1655 vs Gorchakova 1573
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 60% vs Gorchakova 40%
Volgina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 70% vs Gorchakova 30%
Volgina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina +2 · Gorchakova +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Volgina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.444 / Gorchakova 2.625
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Volgina)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13272011
Volgina1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 100 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it98% 55 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it87% 68 of 78
Gorchakova2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 45 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina7wins
AwayGorchakova3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina80%4 of 5
AwayGorchakova40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina5Gorchakova5n = 10split evenly
S2Volgina8Gorchakova2n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Volgina7Gorchakova3n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S4Volgina4Gorchakova4n = 8split evenly
S5Volgina2Gorchakova2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGorchakovaV − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.039.2+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 596 vs 218 / 46056%47.4%334 / 596 vs 218 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.44/Gorchakova 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 15:35A. Volgina501013115113A. Gorchakova51121181192
WSep 20 · 14:35A. Volgina331111113A. Gorchakova218670
WSep 12 · 17:05A. Volgina5011167163A. Gorchakova4781411141
LSep 10 · 15:35A. Volgina521411115112A. Gorchakova53169411133
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina4391211113A. Gorchakova351110861
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina49111189102A. Gorchakova49961111123
WAug 30 · 16:05A. Volgina50891111113A. Gorchakova3611113562
WAug 23 · 12:35A. Volgina4111117123A. Gorchakova357711101
WAug 22 · 17:35A. Volgina351113113A. Gorchakova2391130
LAug 16 · 18:05A. Volgina37991181A. Gorchakova4211119113
A. Volgina10
WOct 10 · 16:05M. Gordeets1.83911721A. Volgina1.8311611113WOct 10 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751121051A. Volgina1.4071112113LOct 10 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25881114113A. Volgina1.33111171292LOct 9 · 19:35A. Volgina1.807960V. Shevchuk1.911111113WOct 9 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.501181391A. Volgina2.5061115113WOct 9 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.63121181192A. Volgina1.441013115113WOct 9 · 14:35A. Volgina1.8381111113M. Gordeets1.83118881LOct 9 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.731111113A. Volgina2.008770WSep 20 · 18:09V. Shevchuk1.833430A. Volgina1.831111113WSep 20 · 17:05A. Volgina1.8311812123O. Ivchenko1.8351110101
A. Gorchakova10
LOct 10 · 19:05M. Gordeets1.36118811113A. Gorchakova3.0031111332WOct 10 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.4098141172A. Gorchakova1.301111129113LOct 10 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.331112113A. Gorchakova3.2561060WOct 10 · 12:35K. Tymchenko3.509840A. Gorchakova1.281111113LOct 9 · 18:35A. Gorchakova2.254240K. Bondarenko1.571111103LOct 9 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.3861112972O. Ivchenko1.531191011113LOct 9 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.63121181192A. Volgina1.441013115113LOct 9 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.001890V. Shevchuk1.361111113WOct 9 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.2511117113M. Gordeets1.33481191LOct 4 · 19:35A. Gorchakova3.00691161M. Gordeets1.3611118113
Upcoming Matches
A. Volgina
A. Gorchakova
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