TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Margarita Gordeets vs Anastasiia Volgina 1-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116711211––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMargarita Gordeets above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11 · our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Margarita Gordeets 76–85 Anastasiia Volgina Margarita Gordeets has won 76 of their 161 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:0354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
76-85 in 161
Volgina
Correct
gap of 9 in 161, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gordeets 1611 vs Volgina 1644
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gordeets 20% vs Volgina 60%
Volgina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gordeets 40% vs Volgina 70%
Volgina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gordeets +1 · Volgina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Volgina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGordeets 1.833 / Volgina 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volgina)-0.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13270979
Gordeets1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGordeets4wins
AwayVolgina6wins
Volgina leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGordeets80%4 of 5
AwayVolgina100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gordeets5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S2Gordeets5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S3Gordeets6Volgina3n = 9Gordeets took 6 of 9
S4Gordeets0Volgina4n = 4Volgina took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGordeetsVolginaG − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.333.3+1.0per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGordeetsVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 599 vs 333 / 59659.4%55.9%356 / 599 vs 333 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaGordeets 1.83/Volgina 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 9 · 14:35M. Gordeets35118881A. Volgina4181111113
LSep 12 · 16:05M. Gordeets30811741A. Volgina4111811113
LSep 10 · 14:35M. Gordeets2611690A. Volgina351311113
WSep 5 · 16:05M. Gordeets331111113A. Volgina227960
WSep 4 · 19:35M. Gordeets341112113A. Volgina2461080
WAug 23 · 14:35M. Gordeets431118143A. Volgina36816120
LAug 22 · 14:35M. Gordeets35991161A. Volgina3811115113
LAug 15 · 14:35M. Gordeets399811111A. Volgina4011115133
WAug 14 · 19:35M. Gordeets341211113A. Volgina2310490
M. Gordeets10
WOct 10 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.007990M. Gordeets1.221111113LOct 10 · 13:35M. Gordeets1.738690V. Shevchuk2.001111113WOct 9 · 19:05O. Ivchenko2.25114991M. Gordeets1.579111192LOct 9 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.0011111011113M. Gordeets1.7313812582LOct 9 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.911111113M. Gordeets1.809970LOct 9 · 14:35A. Volgina1.8381111113M. Gordeets1.83118881LOct 9 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.2511117113M. Gordeets1.33481191WOct 4 · 19:35A. Gorchakova3.00691161M. Gordeets1.3611118113WOct 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.731111113V. Shevchuk2.007980LOct 4 · 16:05O. Ivchenko2.0011411113M. Gordeets1.73811871
A. Volgina10
WOct 10 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751121051A. Volgina1.4071112113LOct 10 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25881114113A. Volgina1.33111171292LOct 9 · 19:35A. Volgina1.807960V. Shevchuk1.911111113WOct 9 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.501181391A. Volgina2.5061115113WOct 9 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.63121181192A. Volgina1.441013115113WOct 9 · 14:35A. Volgina1.8381111113M. Gordeets1.83118881LOct 9 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.731111113A. Volgina2.008770WSep 20 · 18:09V. Shevchuk1.833430A. Volgina1.831111113WSep 20 · 17:05A. Volgina1.8311812123O. Ivchenko1.8351110101WSep 20 · 16:05A. Volgina1.281111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.509880
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