TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Peter vs Daniel Tyn 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115118611911711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Peter to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Peter above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Jaroslav Peter at 58.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Peter 2–0 Daniel Tyn Daniel Tyn has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5458.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 6.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Peter
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Peter 1339 vs Tyn 1358
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peter 0% vs Tyn 20%
Tyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peter 30% vs Tyn 50%
Tyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peter -5 · Tyn -1
Peter
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Peter) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeter 1.533 / Tyn 2.375
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Peter)-6.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13268976
Peter1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 15 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tyn2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 18 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 36 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePeter2wins
AwayTyn0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPeter leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPeterTynP − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match47.039.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeterTynBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 96 vs 134 / 28338.5%47.4%37 / 96 vs 134 / 283Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PeterPeter 1.53/Tyn 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Peter · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 28 · 19:30J. Peter49791111113D. Tyn3911114582
WJul 26 · 15:30J. Peter45101311113D. Tyn391211881
J. Peter10
WOct 10 · 19:30Z. Zientek2.1012101171J. Peter1.6714129113LSep 25 · 21:00R. Kvasnicka1.57811911113J. Peter2.2511911432LSep 25 · 20:00M. Jasek2.201111113J. Peter1.616770LSep 25 · 19:00R. Kvasnicka1.53931111143J. Peter2.38111185122LSep 25 · 18:30J. Peter2.25813127102T. Kraninger1.5711111011123LSep 22 · 21:30J. Peter2.25711341R. Guliak1.5711411113WSep 22 · 20:30M. Jasek2.00125871J. Peter1.73101111113WSep 22 · 19:30J. Peter2.008111311113V. Bosak1.73111311482LSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 15 · 21:30J. Peter1.5511211752M. Jasek2.35511511113
D. Tyn10
WOct 10 · 19:00D. Tyn2.101311117113D. Mikula1.6715871192LSep 22 · 13:00D. Tyn4.33213751A. Schneeberger1.20111111113WSep 22 · 12:00J. Stach1.61101291172D. Tyn2.201210117113LSep 22 · 11:00A. Virag1.40111166133D. Tyn2.75981111112LSep 22 · 10:30D. Tyn2.6376110A. Schneeberger1.441111133LSep 15 · 09:30D. Tyn1.82911101142D. Mikula1.85119126113WSep 15 · 08:30V. Kocian2.10121060D. Tyn1.671412113WSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981WSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123WSep 10 · 13:30D. Tyn1.851111123V. Kocian1.8556100
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