TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Michal Makara vs Jakub Senk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118118811811911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Jakub Senk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 17–11 Jakub Senk Jakub Senk has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Senk beat Makara 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.727 / Senk 2.00
Setka Cup · #13268153
Makara1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Senk2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 24 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara6wins
AwaySenk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara60%3 of 5
AwaySenk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara5Senk5n = 10split evenly
S2Makara6Senk4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S3Makara5Senk5n = 10split evenly
S4Makara7Senk3n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S5Makara1Senk2n = 3Senk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraSenkM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.538.8+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 1057 vs 155 / 29347.9%52.9%506 / 1057 vs 155 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraMakara 1.73/Senk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 06:45M. Makara359111051J. Senk4211812113
WAug 22 · 12:25M. Makara549121111113J. Senk4811147792
WAug 22 · 09:15M. Makara43111110113J. Senk35791271
WAug 15 · 14:45M. Makara3961111113J. Senk34115991
WJul 3 · 18:15M. Makara3961111113J. Senk23116511
LMay 23 · 12:00M. Makara46119101152J. Senk48811126113
LApr 28 · 13:45M. Makara4111118922J. Senk49971111113
LApr 7 · 09:45M. Makara32591261J. Senk43111110113
WJan 7 · 06:30M. Makara3711114113J. Senk32891141
WDec 30 · 16:00M. Makara49111511123J. Senk343174101
M. Makara10
LOct 9 · 07:45L. Rulc1.83111179113M. Makara1.8338111182LOct 9 · 06:45J. Senk2.0011812113M. Makara1.739111051LOct 9 · 05:15J. Rochowanski1.80121112113M. Makara1.911071461LOct 6 · 16:14M. Makara2.10912691V. Grubr1.67111011113LOct 6 · 15:15V. Grubr1.611111113M. Makara2.204750WOct 6 · 14:45M. Makara2.25125115113L. Veigl1.57101181182WOct 6 · 13:45M. Makara2.63149116113J. Krames Sr1.44121191192WOct 6 · 08:48T. Liska2.1012791292M. Makara1.6710111110113LOct 6 · 07:45M. Makara1.739780T. Liska2.001111113WOct 6 · 06:15A. Snr2.00781191M. Makara1.7311119113
J. Senk10
LOct 9 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.671111123J. Senk2.1085100WOct 9 · 06:45J. Senk2.0011812113M. Makara1.739111051LOct 9 · 05:45J. Senk2.108850L. Rulc1.671111113WOct 6 · 16:59J. Senk2.631111133T. Liska1.4487110LOct 6 · 16:00S. Rejent1.731111133J. Senk2.0096110WOct 6 · 15:00P. Semrad2.007670J. Senk1.731111113LOct 6 · 13:30T. Liska1.5391311193J. Senk2.3811115171LOct 1 · 08:14J. Senk1.8311711822M. Vyskocil1.83911711113LOct 1 · 07:45T. Liska1.5791111113J. Senk2.25113821LOct 1 · 06:45M. Ullman1.80111358113J. Senk1.91611111152
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