TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jakub Senk vs Tomas Liska 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181171311––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 4–13 Tomas Liska Jakub Senk has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Liska beat Senk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 2.625 / Liska 1.444
Setka Cup · #13255325
Senk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Liska1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 37 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenk2wins
AwayLiska8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLiska leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenk40%2 of 5
AwayLiska100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senk5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S2Senk5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S3Senk1Liska9n = 10Liska took 9 of 10
S4Senk2Liska5n = 7Liska took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenkLiskaS − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.941.4−7.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 289 vs 404 / 86952.9%46.5%153 / 289 vs 404 / 869Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaSenk 2.63/Liska 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 6 · 13:30J. Senk4411115171T. Liska5291311193
LOct 1 · 07:45J. Senk24113821T. Liska4291111113
LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk257990T. Liska331111113
WAug 15 · 13:45J. Senk4513129113T. Liska4011101181
LMay 23 · 13:04J. Senk4111135662T. Liska528111111113
LMay 23 · 11:00J. Senk227870T. Liska331111113
WMay 10 · 12:00J. Senk3711114113T. Liska35881181
LJan 24 · 06:15J. Senk31691151T. Liska4211119113
LJan 3 · 11:45J. Senk361211761T. Liska4414811113
J. Senk10
LOct 6 · 16:00S. Rejent1.731111133J. Senk2.0096110WOct 6 · 15:00P. Semrad2.007670J. Senk1.731111113LOct 6 · 13:30T. Liska1.5391311193J. Senk2.3811115171LOct 1 · 08:14J. Senk1.8311711822M. Vyskocil1.83911711113LOct 1 · 07:45T. Liska1.5791111113J. Senk2.25113821LOct 1 · 06:45M. Ullman1.80111358113J. Senk1.91611111152WOct 1 · 05:15M. Vyskocil1.8399111132J. Senk1.83111148113WSep 22 · 16:49M. Myler1.73911119132J. Senk2.00119911153LSep 22 · 15:45J. Senk1.6795150M. Myler2.101111152LSep 22 · 14:15L. Veigl1.571011611173J. Senk2.25122115152
T. Liska10
WOct 6 · 15:30T. Liska1.5711116113P. Semrad2.25481141WOct 6 · 14:30T. Liska1.83131112113S. Rejent1.831581051WOct 6 · 13:30T. Liska1.5391311193J. Senk2.3811115171LOct 6 · 08:48T. Liska2.1012791292M. Makara1.6710111110113WOct 6 · 07:45M. Makara1.739780T. Liska2.001111113LOct 6 · 06:45R. Pisa1.8311119113T. Liska1.83331131LOct 6 · 05:15A. Snr1.911191110113T. Liska1.8011141252LOct 5 · 12:44T. Liska2.258121371O. Kaderabek1.57111015113WOct 5 · 11:45M. Makara1.83931171T. Liska1.8311116113WOct 1 · 07:45T. Liska1.5791111113J. Senk2.25113821
Upcoming Matches
J. Senk
Nothing scheduled
T. Liska
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