TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Michal Makara vs Vojtech Grubr 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210611911––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11
79 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 20–35 Vojtech Grubr Michal Makara has won 20 of their 55 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Grubr beat Makara 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 2.10 / Grubr 1.666
Setka Cup · #13255221
Makara2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 154 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Grubr1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 28 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara4wins
AwayGrubr6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGrubr leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara80%4 of 5
AwayGrubr100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara5Grubr5n = 10split evenly
S2Makara4Grubr6n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10
S3Makara3Grubr7n = 10Grubr took 7 of 10
S4Makara1Grubr5n = 6Grubr took 5 of 6
S5Makara3Grubr1n = 4Makara took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraGrubrM − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.941.3−5.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1061 vs 239 / 46948%51%509 / 1061 vs 239 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GrubrMakara 2.10/Grubr 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 15:15M. Makara164750V. Grubr331111113
WJul 28 · 05:30M. Makara43111155113V. Grubr4495111182
LJun 9 · 17:15M. Makara451111101122V. Grubr52971213113
LJun 3 · 06:30M. Makara2979130V. Grubr371111153
WMay 27 · 08:43M. Makara351311113V. Grubr2611870
LMay 27 · 06:15M. Makara39981661V. Grubr47111114113
LMay 20 · 08:49M. Makara145450V. Grubr331111113
LMay 20 · 07:45M. Makara4210131271V. Grubr48121114113
WMay 12 · 09:15M. Makara521181111113V. Grubr4861113992
WMay 4 · 16:23M. Makara44119121113V. Grubr45511101182
M. Makara10
LOct 6 · 15:15V. Grubr1.611111113M. Makara2.204750WOct 6 · 14:45M. Makara2.25125115113L. Veigl1.57101181182WOct 6 · 13:45M. Makara2.63149116113J. Krames Sr1.44121191192WOct 6 · 08:48T. Liska2.1012791292M. Makara1.6710111110113LOct 6 · 07:45M. Makara1.739780T. Liska2.001111113WOct 6 · 06:15A. Snr2.00781191M. Makara1.7311119113LOct 6 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111113M. Makara2.005350LOct 5 · 12:13M. Makara2.0091080L. Rulc1.731112113LOct 5 · 11:45M. Makara1.83931171T. Liska1.8311116113LOct 5 · 10:15O. Kaderabek1.6741111113M. Makara2.10115781
V. Grubr10
WOct 6 · 15:15V. Grubr1.611111113M. Makara2.204750WOct 6 · 14:15V. Grubr2.501041111113J. Krames Sr1.5012119892WOct 6 · 13:15V. Grubr1.8311511113L. Veigl1.83811881WOct 5 · 16:53S. Rejent1.73912861V. Grubr2.00111011113WOct 5 · 15:45V. Grubr1.911171113113S. Rejent1.8051151562WOct 5 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.10118891V. Grubr1.6771111113LOct 5 · 13:45O. Mezera2.10511911113V. Grubr1.6711711892WSep 30 · 20:39V. Burylov1.731081281V. Grubr2.00121110113WSep 30 · 19:15V. Grubr2.635111111113L. Dobias1.4411713982WSep 30 · 18:15V. Grubr2.10811119113R. Pisa1.6711881132
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