TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavlo Ostrovskyi vs Mykhailo Mykhailenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119115––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:54 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timePavlo Ostrovskyi to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ostrovskyi above · Mykhailo Mykhailenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Pavlo Ostrovskyi at 79.4%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ostrovskyi 1–0 Mykhailo Mykhailenko Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5479.4%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 2.4pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Ostrovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ostrovskyi 1051 vs Mykhailenko 835
Ostrovskyi
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ostrovskyi 0% vs Mykhailenko 20%
Mykhailenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ostrovskyi 20% vs Mykhailenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ostrovskyi -6 · Mykhailenko +1
Ostrovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Ostrovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostrovskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstrovskyi 1.222 / Mykhailenko 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Ostrovskyi)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13266001
Ostrovskyi1.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Mykhailenko4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 23 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOstrovskyi1wins
AwayMykhailenko0wins
Ostrovskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOstrovskyiMykhailenkoO − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstrovskyiMykhailenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 23 vs 31 / 11734.8%26.5%8 / 23 vs 31 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.61.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.932.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OstrovskyiOstrovskyi 1.22/Mykhailenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Ostrovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ostrovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 9 · 09:00P. Ostrovskyi331111113M. Mykhailenko184950
P. Ostrovskyi10
LOct 9 · 07:30P. Ostrovskyi2.20107111152S. Osipov1.61121177113LOct 9 · 06:00P. Ostrovskyi1.25871181D. Kunchurov3.7511115113LOct 9 · 04:30P. Ostrovskyi1.1751380O. Efimov4.501115113LOct 6 · 17:10P. Ostrovskyi2.753790S. Skhabitskiy1.401111113LOct 6 · 15:10V. Mukhin1.44811511113P. Ostrovskyi2.6311411692LOct 6 · 14:10P. Ostrovskyi2.38116671S. Semenets1.5381111113WOct 6 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.2541220P. Ostrovskyi1.571114113LOct 6 · 11:40P. Ostrovskyi2.2571070S. Hovorunets1.571112113WOct 3 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.73891251P. Ostrovskyi2.00111110113LOct 3 · 10:35V. Mykhalchenko2.75111153113P. Ostrovskyi1.4027111192
M. Mykhailenko10
WOct 9 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko2.2561211113D. Kunchurov1.571110491LOct 9 · 07:00O. Ponomarenko1.20881111113M. Mykhailenko4.3311118742LOct 9 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko7.00781151S. Osipov1.0811117113LOct 8 · 12:05M. Mykhailenko2.2033100O. Efimov1.611111123LOct 8 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.2811119113M. Mykhailenko3.50681131LOct 8 · 08:05O. Miklukha1.14311411113M. Mykhailenko5.0011211642WOct 8 · 07:05M. Mykhailenko2.3861113113D. Kunchurov1.531171191LOct 8 · 06:05O. Ponomarenko1.301111113M. Mykhailenko3.407450LOct 2 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.1012101251O. Efimov1.67141210113LOct 2 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3312411113M. Mykhailenko3.251011881
Upcoming Matches
P. Ostrovskyi
Nothing scheduled
M. Mykhailenko
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