TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Pozarsky vs Jan Svoboda 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611119611––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:57 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Jan Svoboda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Jan Svoboda at 60.8%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5760.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pozarsky 1558 vs Svoboda 1599
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pozarsky 20% vs Svoboda 40%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pozarsky 30% vs Svoboda 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pozarsky -1 · Svoboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPozarsky 2.375 / Svoboda 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Svoboda)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264691
Pozarsky2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 12 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Svoboda1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 15 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPozarskySvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 303 vs 22 / 4144.9%53.7%136 / 303 vs 22 / 41Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaPozarsky 2.38/Svoboda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pozarsky10
LOct 9 · 10:00J. Stolfa2.251151111113J. Pozarsky1.5731181362WOct 7 · 17:00V. Cermak2.109101161J. Pozarsky1.6711129113LOct 7 · 16:00M. Pikous1.33711119113J. Pozarsky3.2511261182LOct 7 · 15:00A. Brazda1.80911118113J. Pozarsky1.9111761152LOct 7 · 14:30J. Pozarsky1.57911681V. Cermak2.2511611113LOct 2 · 20:58M. Vizek2.10101116113J. Pozarsky1.671261491WOct 2 · 20:30J. Pozarsky1.67117411113D. Tuma2.1091111192LOct 2 · 19:00J. Pozarsky1.534790M. Vizek2.381111113LOct 2 · 18:00S. Kadavy1.731111113J. Pozarsky2.009880WSep 29 · 20:58T. Janata2.3891250J. Pozarsky1.531114113
J. Svoboda10
LOct 9 · 10:30J. Svoboda2.1011641142M. Sobisek1.67811113113WOct 9 · 08:58V. Cermak2.0011511372J. Svoboda1.73711811113LOct 9 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.7361171372V. Cermak2.001191111113LOct 9 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.731111113J. Svoboda2.009980WOct 9 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.611111113D. Tuma2.206680LSep 18 · 12:59J. Svoboda1.837119101M. Sobisek1.8311511123WSep 18 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.671176111J. Svoboda2.1051111133LSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113LSep 18 · 10:30M. Vizek1.80811139113J. Svoboda1.91116111162LSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pozarsky
J. Svoboda
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