TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Pozarsky vs Martin Vizek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711911––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Pozarsky to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Jiri Pozarsky at 62.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Pozarsky 7–2 Martin Vizek Martin Vizek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:5062.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pozarsky
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Pozarsky
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pozarsky 1592 vs Vizek 1551
Pozarsky
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pozarsky 20% vs Vizek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pozarsky 50% vs Vizek 20%
Pozarsky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pozarsky -1 · Vizek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Pozarsky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPozarsky 1.533 / Vizek 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Pozarsky)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13227352
Pozarsky1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 30 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Vizek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 32 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePozarsky7wins
AwayVizek2wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPozarsky leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePozarsky100%4 of 4
AwayVizek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pozarsky4Vizek5n = 9Vizek took 5 of 9
S2Pozarsky6Vizek3n = 9Pozarsky took 6 of 9
S3Pozarsky5Vizek4n = 9Pozarsky took 5 of 9
S4Pozarsky4Vizek3n = 7Pozarsky took 4 of 7
S5Pozarsky4Vizek0n = 4Pozarsky took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPozarskyVizekP − VBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match42.339.8+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPozarskyVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 307 vs 217 / 43246.3%50.2%142 / 307 vs 217 / 432Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PozarskyPozarsky 1.53/Vizek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Pozarsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky331111113M. Vizek225980
WApr 27 · 07:30J. Pozarsky47115911113M. Vizek4791111882
LDec 15 · 14:30J. Pozarsky33711691M. Vizek3911611113
WDec 15 · 13:00J. Pozarsky3911511123M. Vizek388119101
LNov 5 · 14:00J. Pozarsky408119121M. Vizek4411811143
WNov 5 · 13:30J. Pozarsky45481111113M. Vizek4511118962
WOct 30 · 13:30J. Pozarsky361111143M. Vizek2787120
WMar 6 · 21:30J. Pozarsky50911118113M. Vizek4411991142
WFeb 28 · 15:00J. Pozarsky589111611113M. Vizek5211818872
J. Pozarsky10
LOct 2 · 18:00S. Kadavy1.731111113J. Pozarsky2.009880WSep 29 · 20:58T. Janata2.3891250J. Pozarsky1.531114113LSep 29 · 20:00J. Pozarsky1.55111181392T. Janata2.30631115113LSep 29 · 19:30K. Brozhik1.361112812143J. Pozarsky3.008101114122LSep 29 · 18:00J. Pozarsky1.531011871R. Krejci2.3812411113WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113
M. Vizek10
LOct 2 · 18:30M. Vizek1.67111011872D. Tuma2.10712411113LOct 1 · 17:00M. Vizek1.8369111172K. Kapras1.83111176113WOct 1 · 16:00K. Kapras1.61611471M. Vizek2.2011411113LOct 1 · 15:00M. Sobisek1.911111113M. Vizek1.807860LOct 1 · 14:30M. Vizek1.676117101D. Tuma2.1011511123WOct 1 · 12:58P. Zmuda1.809750M. Vizek1.911111113LOct 1 · 12:30D. Tuma2.201611113M. Vizek1.6114880LOct 1 · 11:30M. Vizek1.806712111M. Volf1.91111110133LOct 1 · 10:30P. Zmuda2.0071111113M. Vizek1.73119981LSep 29 · 03:00M. Sychra1.6531111113M. Vizek2.10118441
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