Jakub Kaczmarek vs Zbigniew Sobkow 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 9Finished

Jakub Kaczmarek

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

7115111214––––

Zbigniew Sobkow

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:36 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Zbigniew Sobkow to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Kaczmarek above · Zbigniew Sobkow below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 12-14

Point 60 set 3, 12-14 · our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 54.0%

60 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:36

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Sobkow

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kaczmarek 1251 vs Sobkow 1304

Sobkow

Correct

both rated, 53 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kaczmarek 40% vs Sobkow 20%

Kaczmarek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kaczmarek 40% vs Sobkow 20%

Kaczmarek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kaczmarek -1 · Sobkow -4

Sobkow

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sobkow) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sobkow form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKaczmarek 2.00 / Sobkow 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Sobkow)-3.9pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13264219

Kaczmarek2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 182 of 513

Down 0–1, comes back18% 57 of 316

Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 179

Sobkow1.73

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite57% won 37 of 65

Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it67% 26 of 39

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKaczmarekSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime517 / 1371 vs 66 / 14237.7%46.5%517 / 1371 vs 66 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sobkow

Kaczmarek 2.00/Sobkow 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Sobkow · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Sobkow won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Kaczmarek10