TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Wieczerzak vs Zbigniew Sobkow 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012411116711––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Zbigniew Sobkow below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 63.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 9–5 Zbigniew Sobkow Zbigniew Sobkow has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:36What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Wieczerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Wieczerzak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1415 vs Sobkow 1355
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 60% vs Sobkow 20%
Wieczerzak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 50% vs Sobkow 20%
Wieczerzak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -1 · Sobkow -4
Sobkow
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.36 / Sobkow 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13200415
Wieczerzak1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it76% 61 of 80
Sobkow3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWieczerzak7wins
AwaySobkow3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWieczerzak leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzak100%6 of 6
AwaySobkow75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak6Sobkow4n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S2Wieczerzak5Sobkow5n = 10split evenly
S3Wieczerzak8Sobkow2n = 10Wieczerzak took 8 of 10
S4Wieczerzak2Sobkow1n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWieczerzakSobkowW − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.527.9+6.6per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 289 vs 65 / 13653.3%47.8%154 / 289 vs 65 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.36/Sobkow 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobkow won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak321041171Z. Sobkow4012116113
WSep 27 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak331111113Z. Sobkow176560
WSep 26 · 15:05J. Wieczerzak4211811123Z. Sobkow314116101
WSep 26 · 09:05J. Wieczerzak381111163Z. Sobkow3097140
WSep 13 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak51991111113Z. Sobkow3311115332
WSep 13 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak341211113Z. Sobkow2510870
WSep 6 · 13:55J. Wieczerzak331111113Z. Sobkow134810
LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak2283110Z. Sobkow351111133
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Wieczerzak351111133Z. Sobkow2265110
LSep 5 · 06:30J. Wieczerzak257990Z. Sobkow331111113
J. Wieczerzak10
LSep 27 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak2.209117111W. Wojtaszczyk1.6111511133WSep 27 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671191151J. Wieczerzak2.1013117113WSep 27 · 05:40Z. Sobkow2.386560J. Wieczerzak1.531111113LSep 27 · 03:50J. Wieczerzak1.8312180P. Polok1.831411113LSep 26 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.6737110W. Buczynski2.101111133WSep 26 · 15:05Z. Sobkow2.454116101J. Wieczerzak1.5011811123WSep 26 · 14:20S. Szostok2.152118101J. Wieczerzak1.6211411123LSep 26 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak2.661010141162P. Gamrot1.431212126113LSep 26 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.55411971D. Morawiec2.2511811113LSep 26 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.4765111162W. Buczynski2.40111187113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 27 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.381081181W. Wojtaszczyk1.5312119113LSep 27 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.506960S. Szostok1.501111113LSep 27 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.2586111162P. Polok1.57111166113LSep 27 · 05:40Z. Sobkow2.386560J. Wieczerzak1.531111113LSep 27 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.631110111272A. Cichocki1.44712714113WSep 27 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.501111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.508670LSep 26 · 16:20Z. Sobkow1.98118761D. Morawiec1.7391111113LSep 26 · 15:05Z. Sobkow2.454116101J. Wieczerzak1.5011811123WSep 26 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.771111113W. Buczynski1.952970LSep 26 · 12:45S. Szostok1.701111113Z. Sobkow1.957520
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