TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Zbigniew Sobkow vs Sebastian Szostok 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Sebastian Szostok below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Sebastian Szostok at 64.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 3–4 Sebastian Szostok Zbigniew Sobkow has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1335 vs Szostok 1449
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 20% vs Szostok 40%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 20% vs Szostok 60%
Szostok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow -3 · Szostok -1
Sobkow
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 2.50 / Szostok 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Szostok)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13200782
Sobkow2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Szostok1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 343 of 532
Up 2–0, closes it94% 133 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it80% 224 of 279
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSobkow3wins
AwaySzostok4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSzostok leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobkown = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySzostok50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobkow1Szostok6n = 7Szostok took 6 of 7
S2Sobkow4Szostok3n = 7Sobkow took 4 of 7
S3Sobkow2Szostok5n = 7Szostok took 5 of 7
S4Sobkow3Szostok2n = 5Sobkow took 3 of 5
S5Sobkow2Szostok1n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSobkowSzostokSobkow − SzostokBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match35.939.3−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 134 vs 916 / 158047.8%58%64 / 134 vs 916 / 1580Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSobkow 2.50/Szostok 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 26 · 12:45Z. Sobkow147520S. Szostok331111113
LSep 26 · 10:20Z. Sobkow4411951182S. Szostok44511116113
WSep 13 · 13:05Z. Sobkow52611311213S. Szostok56117118192
WSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow4291111113S. Szostok29116751
LSep 5 · 10:10Z. Sobkow25511631S. Szostok3911611113
WAug 23 · 09:00Z. Sobkow48711118113S. Szostok4111861152
LAug 23 · 04:30Z. Sobkow269890S. Szostok331111113
Z. Sobkow10
WSep 27 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak1.361041171Z. Sobkow3.0012116113LSep 27 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.2586111162P. Polok1.57111166113LSep 27 · 05:40Z. Sobkow2.386560J. Wieczerzak1.531111113LSep 27 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.631110111272A. Cichocki1.44712714113WSep 27 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.501111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.508670LSep 26 · 16:20Z. Sobkow1.98118761D. Morawiec1.7391111113LSep 26 · 15:05Z. Sobkow2.454116101J. Wieczerzak1.5011811123WSep 26 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.771111113W. Buczynski1.952970LSep 26 · 12:45S. Szostok1.701111113Z. Sobkow1.957520LSep 26 · 11:55Z. Sobkow1.8391111892P. Gamrot1.88119911113
S. Szostok10
WSep 27 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.50138791S. Szostok2.50111111113LSep 27 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00791191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311118113WSep 27 · 06:05P. Polok1.91119781S. Szostok1.8051111113LSep 27 · 04:55J. Wieczerzak1.9111115113S. Szostok1.80751161WSep 27 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.4421111872S. Szostok2.63119611113LSep 26 · 17:05S. Szostok1.6441151182P. Gamrot2.14115119113WSep 26 · 15:30S. Szostok1.75161510123D. Morawiec1.98141312101LSep 26 · 14:20S. Szostok2.152118101J. Wieczerzak1.6211411123WSep 26 · 12:45S. Szostok1.701111113Z. Sobkow1.957520WSep 26 · 11:30S. Szostok1.5511112113W. Buczynski2.25891141
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