TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Glanowski vs Jakub Kaczmarek 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111131141513119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:15 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaldemar Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
81111131141513119
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 2–3 Jakub Kaczmarek Waldemar Glanowski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kaczmarek beat Glanowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:1554.0%Our read54.1%to break even at 1.85
short by 0.1pp54.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.85 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Kaczmarek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1205 vs Kaczmarek 1277
Kaczmarek
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 0% vs Kaczmarek 60%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 10% vs Kaczmarek 50%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -9 · Kaczmarek -1
Glanowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Glanowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glanowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.85 / Kaczmarek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Glanowski)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13264292
Glanowski1.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kaczmarek1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeGlanowski2wins
AwayKaczmarek3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKaczmarek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski2Kaczmarek3n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S2Glanowski2Kaczmarek3n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S3Glanowski2Kaczmarek3n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S4Glanowski2Kaczmarek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricGlanowskiKaczmarekG − KBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.841.2+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 723 vs 515 / 136451.3%37.8%371 / 723 vs 515 / 1364Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiGlanowski 1.85/Kaczmarek 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LOct 8 · 08:20W. Glanowski381110891J. Kaczmarek4171211113
LOct 1 · 13:55W. Glanowski52121212792J. Kaczmarek5610141011113
WOct 1 · 07:55W. Glanowski54711916113J. Kaczmarek51116111492
LApr 30 · 17:05W. Glanowski247890J. Kaczmarek331111113
WApr 30 · 08:45W. Glanowski4181111113J. Kaczmarek25116171
W. Glanowski10
LOct 8 · 10:40W. Glanowski1.85116861P. Slosarczyk1.8051111113LOct 8 · 09:05J. Badura1.421111113W. Glanowski2.559590LOct 8 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek2.0071211113W. Glanowski1.711110891LOct 8 · 07:30W. Glanowski2.2511441182K. Schaniel1.55711118113LOct 8 · 06:20W. Glanowski1.83101211862J. Nowak1.871210811113LOct 6 · 14:40W. Glanowski1.834570P. Slosarczyk1.831111113LOct 6 · 13:05W. Glanowski2.10111211692P. Przewlocki1.67614611113LOct 6 · 11:50W. Glanowski1.801215110R. Gajda1.911417133LOct 6 · 10:10W. Glanowski3.251191113112P. Brozek1.331311611133WOct 6 · 09:00W. Glanowski2.00611711113W. Buczynski1.7311411682
J. Kaczmarek10
LOct 8 · 11:05J. Kaczmarek2.15117841K. Schaniel1.6491111113WOct 8 · 09:30J. Kaczmarek1.757111110113J. Nowak1.9511091242WOct 8 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek2.0071211113W. Glanowski1.711110891LOct 8 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.472371261J. Badura1.49211114113WOct 8 · 05:30J. Kaczmarek1.85611511113P. Slosarczyk1.8511711982LOct 7 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.307160P. Adamus1.521111113WOct 7 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.00712124113A. Burkacki1.721110101192LOct 7 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.159590M. Adamus1.601111113WOct 7 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.50116119123R. Idaczyk1.45611911102LOct 7 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.70121150J. Nowak2.001413113
Upcoming Matches
W. Glanowski
J. Kaczmarek
Oct 8 · 13:10J. Kaczmarek1.85P. Slosarczyk1.85—Oct 9 · 03:00J. Kaczmarek1.83M. Baron1.83—Oct 9 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.20R. Idaczyk1.61—Oct 9 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.00Z. Sobkow1.73—Oct 9 · 06:55J. Kaczmarek2.20L. Oracz1.61—Oct 9 · 08:35J. Kaczmarek1.91M. Jozefiak1.80—Oct 9 · 10:35J. Kaczmarek1.83M. Baron1.83—Oct 9 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.20L. Oracz1.61—Oct 9 · 13:55J. Kaczmarek1.67O. Sokolowski2.10—
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