TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Glanowski vs Rafal Gajda 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
121415171113––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingWaldemar Glanowski above · Rafal Gajda below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 82 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Rafal Gajda at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 3–8 Rafal Gajda Waldemar Glanowski has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4654.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Glanowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Gajda
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1294 vs Gajda 1362
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 40% vs Gajda 100%
Gajda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 30% vs Gajda 90%
Gajda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -1 · Gajda +9
Gajda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gajda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.80 / Gajda 1.909
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gajda)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13248581
Glanowski1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 31 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Gajda1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 120 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back28% 42 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski3wins
AwayGajda7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski37.5%3 of 8
AwayGajdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski8Gajda2n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S2Glanowski4Gajda6n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S3Glanowski4Gajda6n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S4Glanowski0Gajda8n = 8Gajda took 8 of 8
S5Glanowski2Gajda3n = 5Gajda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiGajdaGlanowski − GajdaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.441.7−3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 725 vs 449 / 86751.9%51.8%376 / 725 vs 449 / 867Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGlanowski 1.80/Gajda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 03:50W. Glanowski3811711632R. Gajda49811811113
LAug 11 · 10:10W. Glanowski4271111852R. Gajda45116611113
WAug 11 · 07:45W. Glanowski501171110113R. Gajda4271141282
LApr 16 · 13:10W. Glanowski32118761R. Gajda4181111113
WApr 16 · 05:30W. Glanowski531112107133R. Gajda528101211112
WApr 2 · 15:30W. Glanowski331111113R. Gajda193880
LApr 2 · 09:30W. Glanowski341151081R. Gajda4061112113
LMar 17 · 12:55W. Glanowski259880R. Gajda331111113
LMar 17 · 06:55W. Glanowski331175101R. Gajda4281111123
LMar 11 · 14:30W. Glanowski4411144872R. Gajda549121111113
W. Glanowski10
LOct 6 · 10:10W. Glanowski3.251191113112P. Brozek1.331311611133WOct 6 · 09:00W. Glanowski2.00611711113W. Buczynski1.7311411682WOct 6 · 07:45P. Brozek1.57681171W. Glanowski2.2511117113LOct 6 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.67811711133W. Glanowski2.10114115112LOct 6 · 06:05W. Glanowski1.737790P. Slosarczyk2.001111113WOct 6 · 04:30W. Glanowski1.831111113W. Buczynski1.839480LOct 6 · 03:50R. Gajda1.73811811113W. Glanowski2.0011711632LOct 1 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.4067100R. Niemiec1.511111123LOct 1 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.49811651R. Skotniczny1.4811711113LOct 1 · 13:55W. Glanowski1.78121212792J. Kaczmarek1.9310141011113
R. Gajda10
LOct 6 · 12:40P. Brozek2.1071113143R. Gajda1.6711911121WOct 6 · 11:00R. Gajda1.44611511113P. Slosarczyk2.6311711392WOct 6 · 09:50R. Gajda2.001311910123P. Przewlocki1.731191112102WOct 6 · 08:10R. Gajda2.7571111113W. Buczynski1.40118391WOct 6 · 06:30P. Brozek1.7311590R. Gajda2.001311113WOct 6 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.73471191R. Gajda2.0011117113WOct 6 · 04:55R. Gajda1.361181011113P. Slosarczyk3.0081112072WOct 6 · 03:50R. Gajda1.73811811113W. Glanowski2.0011711632WSep 30 · 16:20K. Schaniel1.93461151R. Gajda1.7811118113WSep 30 · 15:30M. Rus2.50911914102R. Gajda1.451161112123
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