TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Glanowski vs Piotr Przewlocki 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161214116611911
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched: 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingWaldemar Glanowski above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 58.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 4–9 Piotr Przewlocki Waldemar Glanowski has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Przewlocki beat Glanowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:0458.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Przewlocki
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1283 vs Przewlocki 1330
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 40% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 30% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -2 · Przewlocki -3
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.10 / Przewlocki 1.666
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Przewlocki)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13248684
Glanowski2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 83 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Przewlocki1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 130 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski3wins
AwayPrzewlocki7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski50%2 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Glanowski5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S3Glanowski5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Glanowski3Przewlocki6n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiPrzewlockiG − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.7−2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 726 vs 518 / 108351.8%47.8%376 / 726 vs 518 / 1083Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiGlanowski 2.10/Przewlocki 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 06:55W. Glanowski42114115112P. Przewlocki50811711133
LAug 25 · 10:10W. Glanowski388111181P. Przewlocki4211137113
LAug 25 · 07:45W. Glanowski3421111642P. Przewlocki46118511113
LJul 30 · 11:30W. Glanowski33713581P. Przewlocki44111111113
WJul 30 · 07:10W. Glanowski4111118113P. Przewlocki29751161
WJul 2 · 15:30W. Glanowski46101111143P. Przewlocki381268121
LJul 2 · 09:30W. Glanowski38813891P. Przewlocki44111111113
LJun 18 · 13:30W. Glanowski381110981P. Przewlocki3951211113
WJun 18 · 07:30W. Glanowski43111011113P. Przewlocki32812391
LJun 11 · 16:20W. Glanowski237880P. Przewlocki331111113
W. Glanowski10
LOct 6 · 11:50W. Glanowski1.801215110R. Gajda1.911417133LOct 6 · 10:10W. Glanowski3.251191113112P. Brozek1.331311611133WOct 6 · 09:00W. Glanowski2.00611711113W. Buczynski1.7311411682WOct 6 · 07:45P. Brozek1.57681171W. Glanowski2.2511117113LOct 6 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.67811711133W. Glanowski2.10114115112LOct 6 · 06:05W. Glanowski1.737790P. Slosarczyk2.001111113WOct 6 · 04:30W. Glanowski1.831111113W. Buczynski1.839480LOct 6 · 03:50R. Gajda1.73811811113W. Glanowski2.0011711632LOct 1 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.4067100R. Niemiec1.511111123LOct 1 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.49811651R. Skotniczny1.4811711113
P. Przewlocki10
WOct 6 · 13:55P. Brozek1.407880P. Przewlocki2.751111113LOct 6 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.731011991P. Slosarczyk2.0012411113LOct 6 · 10:35P. Przewlocki1.675116141W. Buczynski2.1011711163LOct 6 · 09:50R. Gajda2.001311910123P. Przewlocki1.731191112102WOct 6 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.61111387113P. Slosarczyk2.20411111112WOct 6 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.67811711133W. Glanowski2.10114115112LOct 6 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.73471191R. Gajda2.0011117113LOct 6 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.754940P. Brozek1.401111113LOct 6 · 03:00P. Przewlocki1.733750W. Buczynski2.001111113WOct 5 · 13:55S. Szostok1.576770P. Przewlocki2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
W. Glanowski
P. Przewlocki
Oct 7 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.38J. Pruszkowski1.53—Oct 7 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.38K. Slawinski1.53—Oct 7 · 05:40P. Przewlocki2.00L. Oracz1.73—Oct 7 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.91O. Vincenec1.80—Oct 7 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.61P. Slosarczyk2.20—Oct 7 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.00L. Oracz1.73—Oct 7 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.61P. Slosarczyk2.20—Oct 7 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.91O. Vincenec1.80—Oct 7 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2.38K. Slawinski1.53—
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