TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Witold Buczynski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111176111416––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched: 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 81 set 4, 14-16 · our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 56.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 11–10 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:2556.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1360 vs Buczynski 1295
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Buczynski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Buczynski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.666 / Buczynski 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Przewlocki)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13248596
Przewlocki1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 130 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Buczynski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 196 of 508
Down 0–1, comes back22% 65 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki6wins
AwayBuczynski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki83.3%5 of 6
AwayBuczynski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki6Buczynski4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki7Buczynski3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki1Buczynski4n = 5Buczynski took 4 of 5
S5Przewlocki2Buczynski1n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiBuczynskiP − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.233.5+1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime518 / 1081 vs 464 / 116847.9%39.7%518 / 1081 vs 464 / 1168Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.67/Buczynski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 03:00P. Przewlocki153750W. Buczynski331111113
WSep 28 · 09:25P. Przewlocki45111156123W. Buczynski45851111102
LSep 28 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2310670W. Buczynski341211113
WAug 25 · 09:25P. Przewlocki3851111113W. Buczynski34116981
WAug 25 · 03:25P. Przewlocki331111113W. Buczynski186480
WAug 19 · 12:15P. Przewlocki48111187113W. Buczynski3895111122
LAug 19 · 08:35P. Przewlocki47119111062W. Buczynski47511812113
WAug 4 · 10:10P. Przewlocki381116113W. Buczynski2871470
LAug 4 · 07:45P. Przewlocki32611781W. Buczynski3911611113
WAug 3 · 12:15P. Przewlocki331111113W. Buczynski198740
P. Przewlocki10
LOct 6 · 09:50R. Gajda2.001311910123P. Przewlocki1.731191112102WOct 6 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.61111387113P. Slosarczyk2.20411111112WOct 6 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.67811711133W. Glanowski2.10114115112LOct 6 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.73471191R. Gajda2.0011117113LOct 6 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.754940P. Brozek1.401111113LOct 6 · 03:00P. Przewlocki1.733750W. Buczynski2.001111113WOct 5 · 13:55S. Szostok1.576770P. Przewlocki2.251111113WOct 5 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.1041131282P. Przewlocki1.671191110113WOct 5 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.75511414113J. Pruszkowski1.40116111292LOct 5 · 10:35P. Przewlocki2.6396131192K. Slawinski1.441111117113
W. Buczynski10
LOct 6 · 11:25P. Brozek1.501011511113W. Buczynski2.5012611652LOct 6 · 09:00W. Glanowski2.00611711113W. Buczynski1.7311411682LOct 6 · 08:10R. Gajda2.7571111113W. Buczynski1.40118391WOct 6 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk1.801111871W. Buczynski1.9161311113WOct 6 · 05:15P. Brozek1.50139711112W. Buczynski2.501111117133LOct 6 · 04:30W. Glanowski1.831111113W. Buczynski1.839480WOct 6 · 03:00P. Przewlocki1.733750W. Buczynski2.001111113WOct 4 · 14:20R. Idaczyk1.837540W. Buczynski1.831111113LOct 4 · 13:30J. Jesiek2.00116117113W. Buczynski1.7391151152WOct 4 · 11:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.30981141W. Buczynski3.4011118113
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Oct 6 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.73P. Slosarczyk2.00—Oct 6 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.67W. Glanowski2.10—Oct 6 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2.75P. Brozek1.40—Oct 7 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.38J. Pruszkowski1.53—Oct 7 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Oct 7 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.91L. Oracz1.80—Oct 7 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.91O. Vincenec1.80—
W. Buczynski
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