TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Glanowski vs Jakub Nowak 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121210118811611
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:13 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaldemar Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
10121210118811611
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 7–7 Jakub Nowak Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.83
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.83 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Glanowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1245 vs Nowak 1200
Glanowski
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 20% vs Nowak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 30% vs Nowak 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -4 · Nowak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Glanowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.83 / Nowak 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Glanowski)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13258979
Glanowski1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 31 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Nowak1.87
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 244 of 674
Down 0–1, comes back21% 85 of 405
Down 0–2, comes back8% 20 of 243
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski4wins
AwayNowak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski50%3 of 6
AwayNowak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski6Nowak4n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S2Glanowski4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S3Glanowski4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S4Glanowski4Nowak4n = 8split evenly
S5Glanowski1Nowak3n = 4Nowak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiNowakG − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.2−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 719 vs 667 / 175451.6%38%371 / 719 vs 667 / 1754Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiGlanowski 1.83/Nowak 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 06:20W. Glanowski47101211862J. Nowak521210811113
WOct 1 · 11:55W. Glanowski4919117123J. Nowak4317511101
LOct 1 · 05:55W. Glanowski2710890J. Nowak341211113
WAug 6 · 12:20W. Glanowski5911151111113J. Nowak5381713962
LAug 6 · 08:20W. Glanowski341110851J. Nowak3951211113
WJul 21 · 13:55W. Glanowski4281111123J. Nowak381198101
LJul 21 · 06:30W. Glanowski43115116102J. Nowak51911811123
LMar 26 · 17:20W. Glanowski2461170J. Nowak351113113
WMar 26 · 07:45W. Glanowski3611113113J. Nowak29581151
LMar 19 · 15:20W. Glanowski4211811842J. Nowak48911611113
W. Glanowski10
LOct 6 · 14:40W. Glanowski1.834570P. Slosarczyk1.831111113LOct 6 · 13:05W. Glanowski2.10111211692P. Przewlocki1.67614611113LOct 6 · 11:50W. Glanowski1.801215110R. Gajda1.911417133LOct 6 · 10:10W. Glanowski3.251191113112P. Brozek1.331311611133WOct 6 · 09:00W. Glanowski2.00611711113W. Buczynski1.7311411682WOct 6 · 07:45P. Brozek1.57681171W. Glanowski2.2511117113LOct 6 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.67811711133W. Glanowski2.10114115112LOct 6 · 06:05W. Glanowski1.737790P. Slosarczyk2.001111113WOct 6 · 04:30W. Glanowski1.831111113W. Buczynski1.839480LOct 6 · 03:50R. Gajda1.73811811113W. Glanowski2.0011711632
J. Nowak10
LOct 7 · 08:20M. Adamus1.531112118133J. Nowak2.38614511112LOct 7 · 07:35P. Adamus1.33117118113J. Nowak3.1031161172LOct 7 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.551113153J. Nowak2.30711130LOct 7 · 04:50A. Burkacki1.9991112113J. Nowak1.741181081WOct 7 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.70121150J. Nowak2.001413113LOct 7 · 02:20M. Adamus1.581311113J. Nowak2.2011590WOct 7 · 01:35P. Adamus1.3511781582J. Nowak2.706111113113LOct 6 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.181111113J. Nowak4.156940LOct 6 · 22:50G. Jurowicz1.73411118113J. Nowak1.9811771152LOct 6 · 21:10A. Burkacki1.781311113J. Nowak1.9311750
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