TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Nowak vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119119911118
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:09 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
711119119911118
H2H Jakub Nowak 17–10 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:0954.0%Our read57.8%to break even at 1.73
short by 3.8pp57.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.73 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Slosarczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Nowak
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1200 vs Slosarczyk 1197
Nowak
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 20% vs Slosarczyk 0%
Nowak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 30% vs Slosarczyk 10%
Nowak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak +1 · Slosarczyk -8
Slosarczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Slosarczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 1.98 / Slosarczyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slosarczyk)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13263300
Nowak1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 244 of 674
Down 0–1, comes back21% 85 of 405
Down 0–2, comes back8% 20 of 243
Slosarczyk1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 82 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak6wins
AwaySlosarczyk4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak50%2 of 4
AwaySlosarczyk33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak4Slosarczyk6n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S2Nowak4Slosarczyk6n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S3Nowak7Slosarczyk3n = 10Nowak took 7 of 10
S4Nowak5Slosarczyk4n = 9Nowak took 5 of 9
S5Nowak4Slosarczyk2n = 6Nowak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakSlosarczykN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.2−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime666 / 1753 vs 365 / 97238%37.6%666 / 1753 vs 365 / 972Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykNowak 1.98/Slosarczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 18:55J. Nowak41431112113P. Slosarczyk45111141092
LSep 20 · 22:50J. Nowak30135661P. Slosarczyk44111111113
WSep 20 · 15:10J. Nowak4011711113P. Slosarczyk30511591
WSep 2 · 07:10J. Nowak54611138163P. Slosarczyk561191111142
WAug 25 · 22:10J. Nowak341111123P. Slosarczyk2257100
LAug 8 · 06:25J. Nowak49111171192P. Slosarczyk47139113113
WJun 16 · 23:20J. Nowak49791111113P. Slosarczyk4511118872
LMay 11 · 01:35J. Nowak3911471162P. Slosarczyk45411118113
WMay 10 · 19:35J. Nowak47611116133P. Slosarczyk46115811112
LJan 12 · 00:35J. Nowak339311101P. Slosarczyk4211118123
J. Nowak10
WOct 8 · 06:20W. Glanowski1.83101211862J. Nowak1.871210811113LOct 7 · 08:20M. Adamus1.531112118133J. Nowak2.38614511112LOct 7 · 07:35P. Adamus1.33117118113J. Nowak3.1031161172LOct 7 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.551113153J. Nowak2.30711130LOct 7 · 04:50A. Burkacki1.9991112113J. Nowak1.741181081WOct 7 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.70121150J. Nowak2.001413113LOct 7 · 02:20M. Adamus1.581311113J. Nowak2.2011590WOct 7 · 01:35P. Adamus1.3511781582J. Nowak2.706111113113LOct 6 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.181111113J. Nowak4.156940LOct 6 · 22:50G. Jurowicz1.73411118113J. Nowak1.9811771152
P. Slosarczyk10
LOct 8 · 07:55J. Badura1.641111113P. Slosarczyk2.138360LOct 8 · 05:30J. Kaczmarek1.85611511113P. Slosarczyk1.8511711982LOct 7 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.61431311113P. Slosarczyk2.20111111882LOct 7 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk4.0011781152J. Pruszkowski1.22911116113LOct 7 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.83611411113P. Slosarczyk1.8311611762LOct 7 · 11:00L. Oracz1.30671111113P. Slosarczyk3.4011115452LOct 7 · 09:25K. Slawinski1.301111113P. Slosarczyk3.409990LOct 7 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.611316133P. Slosarczyk2.201114110LOct 7 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk4.331191161J. Pruszkowski1.2071113113WOct 7 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.576980P. Slosarczyk2.251111113
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