TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marek Zaskodny vs Ivan Heuman 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115112116––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Zaskodny to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 46 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Marek Zaskodny at 62.5%
46 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 4–0 Ivan Heuman Ivan Heuman has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2462.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zaskodny
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Zaskodny
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaskodny 1626 vs Heuman 1618
Zaskodny
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaskodny 80% vs Heuman 100%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaskodny 60% vs Heuman 80%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaskodny +1 · Heuman +6
Heuman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Zaskodny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 1.50 / Heuman 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Zaskodny)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13264195
Zaskodny1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 22 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Heuman2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 57 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back28% 16 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZaskodny4wins
AwayHeuman0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderZaskodny leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaskodny100%4 of 4
AwayHeumann = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaskodny4Heuman0n = 4Zaskodny took 4 of 4
S2Zaskodny2Heuman2n = 4split evenly
S3Zaskodny2Heuman1n = 3Zaskodny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZaskodnyHeumanZ − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match41.727.7+14.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnyHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 301 vs 229 / 45941.9%49.9%126 / 301 vs 229 / 459Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZaskodnyZaskodny 1.50/Heuman 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Zaskodny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 26 · 21:15M. Zaskodny48117811113I. Heuman3951111752
WApr 26 · 17:45M. Zaskodny4411911133I. Heuman347115111
WDec 26 · 20:10M. Zaskodny331111113I. Heuman103610
M. Zaskodny10
WOct 8 · 17:40M. Zaskodny1.281111113P. Marsalek3.505640LOct 7 · 17:14M. Zaskodny2.2595120F. Chaloupka1.571111143WOct 7 · 15:45M. Zaskodny2.00311115113F. Chaloupka1.7311881152WOct 7 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.00111259113D. Skulina1.73910111172WOct 7 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.831111123D. Stusek1.8399100LSep 23 · 16:48M. Zaskodny2.7591112121J. Skvrna1.4011714143WSep 23 · 16:10J. Skvrna1.306111191M. Zaskodny3.4011813113LSep 23 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.207460A. Baros1.611111113WSep 23 · 13:40D. Sarganek1.83471371M. Zaskodny1.83111111113LSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680
I. Heuman10
WOct 8 · 18:10D. Stusek1.5711791172I. Heuman2.25811117113WOct 4 · 21:10I. Heuman1.4611116113R. Solle2.55711161WOct 4 · 19:40I. Heuman1.738111011113A. Cizek2.0011812992WOct 4 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5711117113R. Solle2.25691151WOct 4 · 17:40I. Heuman1.6121111123D. Branny2.201194101WOct 3 · 21:14K. Kleprlik2.106111111102I. Heuman1.67111379123LOct 3 · 19:45I. Heuman1.67138116102K. Kleprlik2.101111811123WOct 3 · 18:45I. Heuman1.83111199113T. Kindl1.8388111132WOct 3 · 17:45I. Heuman1.731111123D. Vitasek2.0066100LOct 1 · 21:10I. Heuman1.578960D. Vitasek2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Zaskodny
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I. Heuman
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