TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Alina Ovriakh vs Iolanta Yevtodii 3-2 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13151171151416119
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingAlina Ovriakh above · Iolanta Yevtodii below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-16
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 112 set 5, 11-9
112 points played in total.
H2H Alina Ovriakh 9–10 Iolanta Yevtodii Alina Ovriakh has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Yevtodii beat Ovriakh 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yevtodii form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvriakh 1.666 / Yevtodii 2.10
Setka Cup Women · #13263833
Ovriakh1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 53 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Yevtodii2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvriakh4wins
AwayYevtodii6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvriakh42.9%3 of 7
AwayYevtodii66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovriakh7Yevtodii3n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S2Ovriakh7Yevtodii3n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S3Ovriakh7Yevtodii3n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S4Ovriakh3Yevtodii5n = 8Yevtodii took 5 of 8
S5Ovriakh0Yevtodii6n = 6Yevtodii took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvriakhYevtodiiO − YBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.7+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvriakhYevtodiiBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 105 vs 112 / 15370.5%73.2%74 / 105 vs 112 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhOvriakh 1.67/Yevtodii 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 08:30A. Ovriakh501111810102I. Yevtodii49951112123
WSep 17 · 06:00A. Ovriakh4181111113I. Yevtodii32116961
WSep 16 · 11:00A. Ovriakh43111110113I. Yevtodii34891251
WSep 10 · 05:30A. Ovriakh331111113I. Yevtodii228950
LSep 9 · 06:30A. Ovriakh46411147102I. Yevtodii541181211123
LAug 13 · 05:30A. Ovriakh4711911792I. Yevtodii48811711113
LAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh43101111562I. Yevtodii46129311113
WJul 7 · 08:30A. Ovriakh331111113I. Yevtodii217590
LJun 25 · 04:30A. Ovriakh47118117102I. Yevtodii47711611123
LJun 24 · 12:05A. Ovriakh4311771172I. Yevtodii44611115113
A. Ovriakh10
LOct 8 · 08:30I. Yevtodii2.38951112123A. Ovriakh1.531111810102WOct 8 · 07:00A. Rzhevska7.00121011592A. Ovriakh1.081012511113WOct 8 · 05:30U. Dronova4.006111191A. Ovriakh1.2211413113WOct 8 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk2.63981581A. Ovriakh1.44111113113WOct 7 · 11:00U. Dronova3.502511111A. Ovriakh1.2811116133WOct 7 · 10:00A. Rzhevska6.009770A. Ovriakh1.111111113WOct 7 · 08:30A. Kurtenko4.336880A. Ovriakh1.201111113WOct 7 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk2.506580A. Ovriakh1.501111113WSep 17 · 11:30R. Budnyk4.00114411102A. Ovriakh1.22611118123LSep 17 · 10:00A. Ovriakh1.4412630N. Plokhotniuk2.631411113
I. Yevtodii10
WOct 8 · 08:30I. Yevtodii2.38951112123A. Ovriakh1.531111810102WOct 8 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk3.0099111162I. Yevtodii1.36111169113WOct 8 · 06:30U. Dronova3.504620I. Yevtodii1.281111113LOct 8 · 05:00A. Rzhevska3.25811811113I. Yevtodii1.3311511982WOct 7 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.33811511113A. Rzhevska3.2511711992WOct 7 · 09:30A. Kurtenko4.50111171152I. Yevtodii1.17913115113LOct 7 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk3.008111110123I. Yevtodii1.36118412102WSep 17 · 10:30I. Yevtodii1.7311121311113D. Kovalova2.0051415692LSep 17 · 09:00I. Yevtodii1.221110581U. Dronova4.0091211113WSep 17 · 07:30I. Yevtodii1.259111111113R. Budnyk3.7511136472
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