TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13145616
Played Sep 17Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11512141315116119
Daria Kovalova
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–0Last 2Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Daria Kovalova below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 107 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 57.7%
107 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 40% vs Kovalova 100%
Kovalova
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 50% vs Kovalova 100%
Kovalova
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii -1 · Kovalova +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yevtodii) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalova form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.73 / Kovalova 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yevtodii)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13145616
Yevtodii1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 69 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Kovalova2.00
100%won 2 of 2 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiKovalovaBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 145 vs 2 / 273.1%100%106 / 145 vs 2 / 2Avg sets wonper match2.53.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.73/Kovalova 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yevtodii won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Yevtodii10
LSep 17 · 09:00I. Yevtodii1.221110581U. Dronova4.0091211113WSep 17 · 07:30I. Yevtodii1.259111111113R. Budnyk3.7511136472LSep 17 · 06:00I. Yevtodii2.10116961A. Ovriakh1.6781111113WSep 17 · 04:30I. Yevtodii1.401111113N. Plokhotniuk2.757950LSep 16 · 11:00I. Yevtodii2.00891251A. Ovriakh1.73111110113LSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102WSep 16 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.401411113N. Plokhotniuk2.7512860WSep 16 · 07:00A. Kurtenko4.508121151I. Yevtodii1.17111013113LSep 16 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2011841182U. Dronova4.33711119113WSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681
D. Kovalova2
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