TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Stusek vs Filip Cernota 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
151361110121214––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Filip Cernota below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 93 set 4, 12-14
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 68–63 Filip Cernota Filip Cernota has won 63 of their 131 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Stusek beat Cernota 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.909 / Cernota 1.80
TT Cup · #13261987
Stusek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 68 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Cernota1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek5wins
AwayCernota5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek100%4 of 4
AwayCernota83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek4Cernota6n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10
S2Stusek7Cernota3n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S3Stusek4Cernota6n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10
S4Stusek3Cernota3n = 6split evenly
S5Stusek2Cernota2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekCernotaS − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.5+0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekCernotaBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 695 vs 97 / 16747.5%58.1%330 / 695 vs 97 / 167Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.840.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CernotaStusek 1.91/Cernota 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Cernota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 20:55M. Stusek351113113F. Cernota2691160
LOct 1 · 21:25M. Stusek2281130F. Cernota371111153
LOct 1 · 19:20M. Stusek4071211192F. Cernota511110118113
WSep 18 · 19:20M. Stusek331111113F. Cernota239680
LSep 9 · 20:55M. Stusek35911691F. Cernota4011711113
LSep 1 · 18:55M. Stusek4791111972F. Cernota44115611113
WAug 24 · 22:05M. Stusek541111129113F. Cernota4139141142
WAug 24 · 18:55M. Stusek528101112113F. Cernota48111291062
WAug 11 · 22:05M. Stusek4111127113F. Cernota389101181
LAug 11 · 18:55M. Stusek2988130F. Cernota371111153
M. Stusek10
WOct 7 · 20:55F. Cernota1.9191160M. Stusek1.801113113WOct 7 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.8371111862M. Stusek1.83115411113WOct 7 · 19:25M. Stusek2.751111811123J. Zlamal1.40813113102LOct 7 · 18:24T. Flicek1.85117811113M. Stusek1.8571111632LOct 7 · 16:55T. Flicek1.831111143M. Stusek1.8359120WOct 7 · 16:25D. Vesecky2.257660M. Stusek1.571111113WOct 7 · 15:25M. Stusek2.00111194113M. Cerny1.7369111182LOct 4 · 10:44M. Stusek2.00511821V. Benak1.7311611113WOct 4 · 08:55O. Kadavy1.913850M. Stusek1.801111113WOct 4 · 08:25V. Benak1.5781191192M. Stusek2.25119119113
F. Cernota10
LOct 7 · 20:55F. Cernota1.9191160M. Stusek1.801113113WOct 7 · 19:55F. Cernota2.1051111113J. Zlamal1.67119891WOct 7 · 18:55F. Cernota1.571111113T. Vorisek2.259980WOct 1 · 21:25F. Cernota1.831111153M. Stusek1.8381130LOct 1 · 20:50F. Cernota1.67511561T. Vorisek2.1011911113WOct 1 · 19:20M. Stusek1.9171211192F. Cernota1.801110118113LOct 1 · 18:50J. Zlamal1.671111123F. Cernota2.1078100LSep 18 · 22:00F. Cernota1.83511811162D. Jicha1.87117118183WSep 18 · 20:50F. Cernota1.611111911113F. Strejc2.2013711992LSep 18 · 19:20M. Stusek1.731111113F. Cernota2.009680
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