TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Stusek vs Vit Benak 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116811211––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 65 set 4, 2-11
65 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 10–16 Vit Benak Martin Stusek has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Stusek beat Benak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.00 / Benak 1.727
TT Cup · #13243134
Stusek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Benak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite36% won 13 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it41% 9 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek5wins
AwayBenak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek80%4 of 5
AwayBenak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek5Benak5n = 10split evenly
S2Stusek4Benak6n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S3Stusek7Benak3n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S4Stusek1Benak5n = 6Benak took 5 of 6
S5Stusek2Benak1n = 3Stusek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekBenakS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.740.1−2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 691 vs 82 / 15147.2%54.3%326 / 691 vs 82 / 151Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.840.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BenakStusek 2.00/Benak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 08:25M. Stusek51119119113V. Benak4881191192
LJul 26 · 12:55M. Stusek208570V. Benak331111113
WJul 25 · 16:55M. Stusek331111113V. Benak218760
WJul 6 · 10:10M. Stusek43116123113V. Benak50911101192
WJul 6 · 07:55M. Stusek391216113V. Benak31101470
LApr 27 · 15:25M. Stusek54121191842V. Benak591071120113
LApr 20 · 18:29M. Stusek258980V. Benak331111113
LApr 20 · 16:55M. Stusek28971111V. Benak4111118113
WApr 15 · 15:55M. Stusek44101111123V. Benak401299101
LApr 11 · 08:55M. Stusek4010111181V. Benak4512139113
M. Stusek10
WOct 4 · 08:55O. Kadavy1.913850M. Stusek1.801111113WOct 4 · 08:25V. Benak1.5781191192M. Stusek2.25119119113WOct 4 · 07:25M. Stusek1.83111111113F. Strejc1.83213861LOct 1 · 21:25F. Cernota1.831111153M. Stusek1.8381130LOct 1 · 20:20M. Stusek2.7561141152J. Zlamal1.40116118113LOct 1 · 19:20M. Stusek1.9171211192F. Cernota1.801110118113LOct 1 · 18:20M. Stusek1.83119871T. Vorisek1.8351111113WSep 28 · 21:25M. Stusek1.851113113F. Strejc1.8571170LSep 28 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.8311117113M. Stusek1.83581151LSep 28 · 19:50J. Zlamal1.441212113M. Stusek2.63101060
V. Benak10
LOct 4 · 09:25F. Strejc2.007111510113V. Benak1.73116131292LOct 4 · 08:25V. Benak1.5781191192M. Stusek2.25119119113WOct 4 · 06:55O. Kadavy1.831171081V. Benak1.8371112113LOct 1 · 18:00T. Flicek1.95411912113V. Benak1.75119111082LOct 1 · 16:55V. Benak1.73711581O. Kadavy2.0011511113LOct 1 · 15:55V. Benak1.61811871T. Flicek2.2011911113WOct 1 · 14:55V. Benak1.67441111113F. Strejc2.1011117792WSep 27 · 14:43M. Cerny1.83611741V. Benak1.8711711113LSep 27 · 13:25F. Strejc2.10911116123V. Benak1.67119711102WSep 27 · 12:25V. Benak1.8011611143O. Kadavy1.919111121
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