TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Robert Jamrich vs Adam Kral 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Adam Kral at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 6–6 Adam Kral Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2054.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kral
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1421 vs Kral 1486
Kral
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 20% vs Kral 60%
Kral
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 30% vs Kral 60%
Kral
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich -2 · Kral +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kral) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 1.833 / Kral 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kral)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13261905
Jamrich1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 04)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kral1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJamrich6wins
AwayKral4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJamrich leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrich80%4 of 5
AwayKral60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S2Jamrich4Kral6n = 10Kral took 6 of 10
S3Jamrich6Kral4n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S4Jamrich5Kral4n = 9Jamrich took 5 of 9
S5Jamrich2Kral1n = 3Jamrich took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJamrichKralJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.7+1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichKralBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 310 vs 411 / 79144.5%52%138 / 310 vs 411 / 791Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KralJamrich 1.83/Kral 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 08:25R. Jamrich46116711113A. Kral4591111772
WSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich43101111113A. Kral33127771
WSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich51121189113A. Kral50109111192
LSep 23 · 08:25R. Jamrich4111711482A. Kral50911811113
LSep 19 · 08:25R. Jamrich399119101A. Kral4111711123
LSep 1 · 14:50R. Jamrich198650A. Kral331111113
LAug 5 · 09:59R. Jamrich399911101A. Kral4111117123
WAug 5 · 08:55R. Jamrich47111411113A. Kral391312861
WJan 18 · 19:20R. Jamrich4311912113A. Kral347111061
WSep 25 · 09:35R. Jamrich4011711113A. Kral31611681
R. Jamrich10
LOct 4 · 17:33J. Kulveit1.471111143R. Jamrich2.5066120LOct 4 · 16:20J. Kulveit1.571111113R. Jamrich2.257850WOct 4 · 15:50D. Sykora1.833690R. Jamrich1.831111113LOct 4 · 14:50R. Jamrich2.007980O. Varecka1.731111113LSep 30 · 14:08R. Jamrich1.839811121M. Filipek1.8311116143LSep 30 · 13:25R. Jamrich1.831011115132F. Marat1.83125911153LSep 30 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.911115113R. Jamrich1.8091360WSep 30 · 11:25M. Filipek1.731111871R. Jamrich2.0081311113WSep 28 · 18:10O. Varecka2.0011351192R. Jamrich1.73911115113LSep 28 · 17:25R. Jamrich2.2511123392J. Kulveit1.578101111113
A. Kral10
WOct 8 · 11:55L. Moravec2.5042111182A. Kral1.50111196113WOct 6 · 14:33F. Balcar1.83115811102A. Kral1.83611118123LOct 6 · 12:55F. Balcar2.20811511113A. Kral1.6111811802WOct 6 · 12:25M. Filipek1.8597111192A. Kral1.85111184113WOct 6 · 11:25A. Kral1.5011114113L. Moravec2.50791141LOct 5 · 14:05A. Kral1.7311111612102O. Fiklik2.00851814123LOct 5 · 13:25M. Filipek1.571111113A. Kral2.259830LOct 5 · 12:25A. Kral2.2511111411142J. Vonasek1.57813166163WOct 5 · 10:55O. Fiklik1.578670A. Kral2.251111113WOct 5 · 10:33M. Filipek1.61641151A. Kral2.2011117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.