TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Moravec vs Robert Jamrich 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111012––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched: 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeLadislav Moravec to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Ladislav Moravec at 62.4%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 21–10 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 10 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:4162.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.8pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-10 in 31
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 11 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1473 vs Jamrich 1438
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Jamrich 40%
Moravec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 50% vs Jamrich 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Jamrich +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Moravec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.533 / Jamrich 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Moravec)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13262157
Moravec1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 26 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Jamrich2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 21 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec8wins
AwayJamrich2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec87.5%7 of 8
AwayJamrichn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec8Jamrich2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S2Moravec7Jamrich3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S3Moravec8Jamrich2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S4Moravec3Jamrich3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecJamrichM − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.730.5+7.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 290 vs 136 / 30242.4%45%123 / 290 vs 136 / 302Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.53/Jamrich 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 11:55L. Moravec4211911113R. Jamrich28411851
WSep 1 · 16:50L. Moravec3911116113R. Jamrich30461191
LAug 25 · 14:55L. Moravec30119461R. Jamrich4291111113
WAug 19 · 12:25L. Moravec50811137113R. Jamrich49117111192
WAug 12 · 13:25L. Moravec361111143R. Jamrich2879120
WAug 11 · 17:25L. Moravec351111133R. Jamrich2577110
WAug 11 · 15:20L. Moravec331111113R. Jamrich112540
WMar 24 · 15:00L. Moravec331111113R. Jamrich174940
LMar 24 · 11:55L. Moravec4181111742R. Jamrich44115611113
WMar 17 · 15:30L. Moravec3812411113R. Jamrich311011551
L. Moravec10
LOct 8 · 11:55L. Moravec2.5042111182A. Kral1.50111196113WOct 8 · 10:55L. Moravec1.837111111143P. Chlumsky1.83111388122WOct 6 · 14:05L. Moravec1.831113910113M. Filipek1.83711111282WOct 6 · 13:25L. Moravec2.20911911133M. Filipek1.61116119112LOct 6 · 11:55F. Balcar2.2521111133L. Moravec1.571158111LOct 6 · 11:25A. Kral1.5011114113L. Moravec2.50791141WOct 1 · 13:38M. Filipek1.738560L. Moravec2.001111113WOct 1 · 12:20L. Moravec3.00871212113J. Vonasek1.361111101092LOct 1 · 11:20L. Moravec2.00981171M. Filipek1.7311119113LOct 1 · 10:20L. Moravec2.757101111112A. Langer1.40111247133
R. Jamrich10
WOct 8 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.83711111162R. Jamrich1.83111388113WOct 8 · 11:25R. Jamrich1.831113113A. Kral1.8391180LOct 4 · 17:33J. Kulveit1.471111143R. Jamrich2.5066120LOct 4 · 16:20J. Kulveit1.571111113R. Jamrich2.257850WOct 4 · 15:50D. Sykora1.833690R. Jamrich1.831111113LOct 4 · 14:50R. Jamrich2.007980O. Varecka1.731111113LSep 30 · 14:08R. Jamrich1.839811121M. Filipek1.8311116143LSep 30 · 13:25R. Jamrich1.831011115132F. Marat1.83125911153LSep 30 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.911115113R. Jamrich1.8091360WSep 30 · 11:25M. Filipek1.731111871R. Jamrich2.0081311113
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