TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Fiklik vs Adam Kral 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 59.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 0–1 Adam Kral Ondrej Fiklik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5159.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1503 vs Kral 1490
Fiklik
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 20% vs Kral 80%
Kral
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 30% vs Kral 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -4 · Kral +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Fiklik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.571 / Kral 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Fiklik)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13245984
Fiklik1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it71% 59 of 83
Kral2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 89 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFiklik0wins
AwayKral1wins
Kral leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricFiklikKralF − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikKralBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1209 vs 415 / 79245.5%52.4%550 / 1209 vs 415 / 792Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.240.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 1.57/Kral 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 5 · 10:55O. Fiklik218670A. Kral331111113
O. Fiklik10
LOct 4 · 21:55A. Kosacky1.3611511113O. Fiklik3.00911581LOct 4 · 21:25O. Fiklik2.388150M. Brozek1.531111113LOct 4 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.3612911113O. Fiklik3.001011571LOct 4 · 19:25M. Kulisek1.801111113O. Fiklik1.913670WOct 3 · 21:58M. Brozek1.73811961O. Fiklik2.0011511113LOct 3 · 20:55A. Kosacky1.361111113O. Fiklik3.007940LOct 3 · 20:25M. Brozek1.53811119113O. Fiklik2.3811731142LOct 3 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00211651M. Kulisek1.7311811113WOct 2 · 13:48A. Kosacky1.408560O. Fiklik2.751111113WOct 2 · 12:20A. Langer2.201177101O. Fiklik1.6161111123
A. Kral10
WOct 5 · 10:33M. Filipek1.61641151A. Kral2.2011117113WOct 5 · 09:25A. Kral2.25101511113P. Chlumsky1.571213781WOct 5 · 07:55F. Marat1.8387110A. Kral1.831111133LOct 5 · 07:25M. Filipek1.7311611113A. Kral2.00811891WOct 3 · 09:59J. Dvorak1.671163101A. Kral2.1081111123LOct 3 · 08:55A. Kral2.1071151292P. Chlumsky1.671151110113LOct 3 · 07:55A. Kral2.2026100Z. Zahradka1.611111123LOct 3 · 06:55A. Kral2.10611771J. Dvorak1.6711811113LOct 2 · 17:20A. Kral2.0211470J. Dvorak1.701311113LOct 2 · 16:20A. Kral2.255111081J. Melichar1.5711712113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.