TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Frantisek Balcar vs Adam Kral 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1165118111181012
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFrantisek Balcar above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12
93 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Balcar 4–10 Adam Kral Frantisek Balcar has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Balcar beat Kral 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcar 1.833 / Kral 1.833
TT Cup · #13254804
Balcar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kral1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcar4wins
AwayKral6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKral leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcarn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKral60%6 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcar0Kral10n = 10Kral took 10 of 10
S2Balcar8Kral2n = 10Balcar took 8 of 10
S3Balcar5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S4Balcar4Kral5n = 9Kral took 5 of 9
S5Balcar3Kral3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcarKralB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.6−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcarKralBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 251 vs 411 / 79149.8%52%125 / 251 vs 411 / 791Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarBalcar 1.83/Kral 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 12:55F. Balcar46811511113A. Kral3811811802
LSep 23 · 06:55F. Balcar378118101A. Kral4211811123
WSep 21 · 11:55F. Balcar49811811113A. Kral4711911882
WSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar45511117113A. Kral4211961152
LSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar41210111172A. Kral47111294113
LSep 1 · 16:20F. Balcar36811981A. Kral4111811113
LJul 6 · 18:05F. Balcar49611121192A. Kral521171013113
WJul 6 · 15:55F. Balcar3631111113A. Kral34117791
LApr 21 · 11:20F. Balcar2798100A. Kral341111123
LMar 31 · 21:25F. Balcar48121111772A. Kral49145811113
F. Balcar10
WOct 6 · 12:55F. Balcar2.20811511113A. Kral1.6111811802WOct 6 · 11:55F. Balcar2.2521111133L. Moravec1.571158111WOct 6 · 10:55F. Balcar1.731111113M. Filipek2.008990LOct 6 · 10:14F. Balcar1.735880M. Filipek2.001111113WOct 6 · 08:55R. Muller2.0061161182F. Balcar1.73116119113LOct 6 · 08:25P. Chlumsky2.10711311123F. Balcar1.67119118102LOct 6 · 07:25F. Balcar1.831091113122M. Filipek1.831211711143LSep 29 · 14:30L. Moravec1.601111113F. Balcar2.209390WSep 29 · 12:55F. Balcar1.83101111113F. Marat1.83127881WSep 29 · 11:55F. Balcar1.7311117113P. Chlumsky2.00471171
A. Kral10
LOct 6 · 12:55F. Balcar2.20811511113A. Kral1.6111811802WOct 6 · 12:25M. Filipek1.8597111192A. Kral1.85111184113WOct 6 · 11:25A. Kral1.5011114113L. Moravec2.50791141LOct 5 · 14:05A. Kral1.7311111612102O. Fiklik2.00851814123LOct 5 · 13:25M. Filipek1.571111113A. Kral2.259830LOct 5 · 12:25A. Kral2.2511111411142J. Vonasek1.57813166163WOct 5 · 10:55O. Fiklik1.578670A. Kral2.251111113WOct 5 · 10:33M. Filipek1.61641151A. Kral2.2011117113WOct 5 · 09:25A. Kral2.25101511113P. Chlumsky1.571213781WOct 5 · 07:55F. Marat1.8387110A. Kral1.831111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.