TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Miklukha vs Oleh Ponomarenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311411611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Miklukha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Oleh Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 46 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Oleh Miklukha at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 38–67 Oleh Ponomarenko Oleh Miklukha has won 38 of their 105 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:3154.0%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.9pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Miklukha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
38-67 in 105
Ponomarenko
Correct
gap of 29 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1043 vs Ponomarenko 1093
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 60% vs Ponomarenko 40%
Miklukha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 40% vs Ponomarenko 60%
Ponomarenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +2 · Ponomarenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Miklukha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 1.615 / Ponomarenko 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Miklukha)-7.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13260969
Miklukha1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 40 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Ponomarenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 38 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha5wins
AwayPonomarenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha60%3 of 5
AwayPonomarenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha5Ponomarenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Miklukha7Ponomarenko3n = 10Miklukha took 7 of 10
S3Miklukha7Ponomarenko3n = 10Miklukha took 7 of 10
S4Miklukha3Ponomarenko5n = 8Ponomarenko took 5 of 8
S5Miklukha1Ponomarenko3n = 4Ponomarenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaPonomarenkoM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.438.4+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 465 vs 310 / 66045.4%47%211 / 465 vs 310 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MiklukhaMiklukha 1.61/Ponomarenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Miklukha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 12:00O. Miklukha391211881O. Ponomarenko4314711113
LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha379111161O. Ponomarenko4411139113
WAug 25 · 09:35O. Miklukha4513119123O. Ponomarenko3811611101
LJul 28 · 07:30O. Miklukha46101111952O. Ponomarenko43123611113
WJul 22 · 15:00O. Miklukha549101113113O. Ponomarenko48111281162
WJul 15 · 18:00O. Miklukha331111113O. Ponomarenko219660
WJun 30 · 07:00O. Miklukha4491311113O. Ponomarenko341111751
LJun 24 · 15:40O. Miklukha47118117102O. Ponomarenko44511511123
WJun 15 · 10:30O. Miklukha331111113O. Ponomarenko239860
LJun 2 · 09:00O. Miklukha4611119872O. Ponomarenko46851111113
O. Miklukha10
WOct 8 · 08:05O. Miklukha1.14311411113M. Mykhailenko5.0011211642WOct 8 · 06:35O. Miklukha1.1771111113O. Efimov4.50119581LOct 8 · 05:05O. Miklukha1.251181111102D. Kunchurov3.75611613123LOct 7 · 18:30O. Stopin1.571111113O. Miklukha2.256980WOct 7 · 17:30O. Efimov4.5013271172O. Miklukha1.171111118113WOct 7 · 16:00D. Kunchurov2.75571281O. Miklukha1.40111110113LOct 7 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.53113115113O. Miklukha2.3871171172LOct 7 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.9114711113O. Miklukha1.801211881LSep 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.38611511113O. Miklukha1.5311511862LSep 30 · 10:05O. Miklukha3.25711681V. Kondratenko1.3311711113
O. Ponomarenko10
LOct 8 · 08:35O. Ponomarenko1.138870O. Efimov5.501111113WOct 8 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.4461111772O. Ponomarenko2.63116611113WOct 8 · 06:05O. Ponomarenko1.301111113M. Mykhailenko3.407450LOct 7 · 18:00O. Ponomarenko1.4061040D. Kunchurov2.751112113LOct 7 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko3.509980O. Stopin1.281111113WOct 7 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.441112511113V. Mykhalchenko2.6341411572WOct 7 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754960WOct 7 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.9114711113O. Miklukha1.801211881WOct 4 · 11:05O. Riabuha3.506760O. Ponomarenko1.281111113LOct 4 · 10:05O. Ponomarenko1.44311141152D. Kunchurov2.63115167113
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